The highest-rated horse in the field by some margin — a rating of 91 puts her eight points clear of the field average — and she is trained by Aidan O'Brien, whose partnership with jockey Wayne Lordan has produced nearly 1 in 5 winners together. The concern is form: consecutive finishes of 10th and 6th in her last two runs suggest she is well below her best right now. The class is real, but she needs to rediscover it today.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the editorial nap, backed by a win at Roscommon just 14 days ago and a career win rate of 1 in 5 — joint-best in the field. The concern flagged by the editorial is a potentially lenient rise of just 5lbs for that Roscommon win, meaning she may still be racing off a weight that flatters her. However, her record on normal ground — winning 2 from 3 at those conditions — lines up well with today, even if her record at right-handed tracks like Gowran has been poor.
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, which is a meaningful edge — horses that have won at a track before often handle it better than newcomers. However, her recent form shows fifth and sixth-place finishes, and she has never won on normal ground in six attempts, which is a real concern given today's conditions. The course form is a plus, but the ground record is a genuine question mark.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A 16th-place finish here at Gowran Park just 54 days ago is not an encouraging recent reference for this course, and the record on normal ground — zero wins from seven attempts — is the biggest warning sign given today's conditions. The fourth-place finish at Leopardstown three weeks ago was a step in the right direction, but there are horses in this field with far stronger profiles for today's conditions. Hard to make a compelling case.
A course winner here at Gowran Park, which is a useful qualification, and she was beaten less than a length in fourth at Leopardstown just 17 days ago — recent form is solid. However, her best win rate of 33% comes over shorter distances of seven furlongs to a mile, so stepping up to a mile and two furlongs today is an unknown. Interesting each-way profile but the distance question is genuine.
The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 5 races — but the standout marker of three straight top-three finishes was abruptly ended by a 17th-place hammering at the Curragh just eight days ago. Racing again this quickly after such a heavy defeat raises questions, and her record on normal ground is zero wins from five attempts. The talent is there but the timing and ground record are both working against her today.
3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)
J. Kearney(3)
·
S. Thorne
· 5yo
· 10st 0lb
· OR 90
HeadgearForm
10
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Three top-three finishes in a row is real consistency, and her most recent run — a third-place finish here at Gowran Park just 40 days ago — suggests this course suits her well. She wins roughly 1 in every 6 races and has one of the better recent form lines in this field. At 7/1 she is not the market leader, but she comes into this with genuine course form and positive recent momentum.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapFresh (206 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most interesting angle here is that Tachos is the only horse in the field with a win over this exact course and distance — no one else can claim that. The major concern is a 206-day absence, the longest lay-off of any runner today, and her most recent run was a 14th-place finish at Dundalk before that break. The course and distance form is compelling, but she is being asked to produce it fresh after nearly seven months off.
Only winner at this distanceHas won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (2 from 8)Absent 206 days (longest in field)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.