Gowran Park
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Irish Stallion Farms EBF Gowran Classic
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £4.50 · 20 Strong chance
Very little experience on today's ground
20
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/2
£1 wins £4.50 · 20 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. P. O'Brien has a good 22% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- 23 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in the field by some margin — a rating of 91 puts her eight points clear of the field average — and she is trained by Aidan O'Brien, whose partnership with jockey Wayne Lordan has produced nearly 1 in 5 winners together. The concern is form: consecutive finishes of 10th and 6th in her last two runs suggest she is well below her best right now. The class is real, but she needs to rediscover it today.
2nd in the market (5.5)
£1 wins £4 · 20 Strong chance
Mrs J. Harrington has won 10.7% of their races in their career
20
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Mrs J. Harrington has won 10.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A weight disadvantage of 6.1 lbs compared with the average for this race. Racing is decided by small margins, and weight matters.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the editorial nap, backed by a win at Roscommon just 14 days ago and a career win rate of 1 in 5 — joint-best in the field. The concern flagged by the editorial is a potentially lenient rise of just 5lbs for that Roscommon win, meaning she may still be racing off a weight that flatters her. However, her record on normal ground — winning 2 from 3 at those conditions — lines up well with today, even if her record at right-handed tracks like Gowran has been poor.
Market favourite (5.0)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 7.2% career win rate for K. Thomas Coleman. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, which is a meaningful edge — horses that have won at a track before often handle it better than newcomers. However, her recent form shows fifth and sixth-place finishes, and she has never won on normal ground in six attempts, which is a real concern given today's conditions. The course form is a plus, but the ground record is a genuine question mark.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- An 18.2% record at this course for J. P. Murtagh. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A 16th-place finish here at Gowran Park just 54 days ago is not an encouraging recent reference for this course, and the record on normal ground — zero wins from seven attempts — is the biggest warning sign given today's conditions. The fourth-place finish at Leopardstown three weeks ago was a step in the right direction, but there are horses in this field with far stronger profiles for today's conditions. Hard to make a compelling case.
Mid-range in the market (7.5)
£1 wins £4.50 · 12 Solid chance
Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- M. Fahey has a 7.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A course winner here at Gowran Park, which is a useful qualification, and she was beaten less than a length in fourth at Leopardstown just 17 days ago — recent form is solid. However, her best win rate of 33% comes over shorter distances of seven furlongs to a mile, so stepping up to a mile and two furlongs today is an unknown. Interesting each-way profile but the distance question is genuine.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 28.6% win rate at this course for S. Thorne. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Has had 40 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
Three top-three finishes in a row is real consistency, and her most recent run — a third-place finish here at Gowran Park just 40 days ago — suggests this course suits her well. She wins roughly 1 in every 6 races and has one of the better recent form lines in this field. At 7/1 she is not the market leader, but she comes into this with genuine course form and positive recent momentum.
3 straight top-3 finishes
£1 wins £7 · 9 Could surprise
A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- R. John O'Brien has a 6.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 5 races — but the standout marker of three straight top-three finishes was abruptly ended by a 17th-place hammering at the Curragh just eight days ago. Racing again this quickly after such a heavy defeat raises questions, and her record on normal ground is zero wins from five attempts. The talent is there but the timing and ground record are both working against her today.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has not raced for 206 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- An 8.1% record at this course for D. K. Weld. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The most interesting angle here is that Tachos is the only horse in the field with a win over this exact course and distance — no one else can claim that. The major concern is a 206-day absence, the longest lay-off of any runner today, and her most recent run was a 14th-place finish at Dundalk before that break. The course and distance form is compelling, but she is being asked to produce it fresh after nearly seven months off.
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (2 from 8)
Absent 206 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.