Assaranca

The partnership with jockey Joe Leavy looks like one worth following. In six races together, they have won twice — that is 1 in every 3 rides, or 33%, which is a remarkable return and well above what you would expect even from a horse in fine form. When Leavy is in the saddle, something clearly clicks. The first career win came at Nottingham in October 2025, and the most recent followed at Lingfield Park in May 2026 — so Assaranca has already shown it can win on different tracks, which matters.

The distance sweet spot appears to be somewhere between a mile and one furlong and a mile and two furlongs. At those trips, Assaranca has won 1 from 4 races, a 25% win rate, which is considerably better than its overall record suggests. It is a horse that seems to need a proper test of stamina rather than a sprint finish, and trainers who find that distance key early in a career tend to be rewarded for it.

Richard Hannon's operation at Herridge is one of the most productive yards in Britain right now — 118 winners this season alone. That is not a trainer guessing; that is a trainer with a system that works. The fact that Assaranca is currently active, having raced just one day ago, suggests the team sees momentum worth pressing. Recent form of a win, a third, and a fifth in the last five runs before yesterday points to a horse on a decent trajectory. It is not a superstar, but at Class 5 level it wins 1 in 4 — and a yard firing at this rate tends to know exactly where to place a horse to give it the best chance.