Spanish Temptress

The win rate of 20% — roughly 1 in every 5 races — is solid without being flashy, but the detail that really catches the eye is what happens when the rain arrives. On wet or muddy ground, Spanish Temptress has won 2 of her 3 races, a success rate of 67%. In other words, when the ground is soft underfoot, she becomes a completely different proposition: two wins from three attempts is not a fluke, it is a pattern. Punters who ignore the weather forecast before she runs are doing themselves no favours.

Her career got going at Killarney in July 2025, and her most recent win came at Roscommon on 13 October 2025 — seven months ago now. That gap might look concerning at first glance, but her recent form tells a more nuanced story. Reading her last six results from most recent backwards — 17, 2, 3, 6, 16, 1 — you can see a horse that won, then had a couple of disappointing runs, then bounced back with a second and a third. She has raced just one day ago, so she is clearly in active training and the yard is keeping her busy.

O'Brien's operation has sent out 5 winners this season, which suggests a yard in decent nick — not a powerhouse stable, but a team that knows what it is doing and picks its spots. With a horse like Spanish Temptress, the obvious spots to pick involve a wet forecast and a track she knows. She has done nothing wrong on that front. The next time the clouds gather over an Irish racecourse and her name appears in the racecard, that is worth noting.