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Chica Guerrera

Three wins, eight places, and a podium finish in five of her last six races — Chica Guerrera is one of those horses that quietly gets the job done. The 4-year-old has built a solid career record across 16 races, winning roughly 1 in every 5 (19%), but the places column tells an equally important story: she is almost always competitive, almost always in the mix. That kind of consistency is harder to achieve than it looks.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Elusive Gold
Trainer
Owner
Trouble & Strife Syndicate
Rating
79

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
3
Wins
18.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by Mark Fahey out of Cloneygath in County Kildare, Chica Guerrera is part of a yard that has been in fine form this season — 24 winners and counting. Fahey's operation clearly knows how to place a horse well, and Chica Guerrera's record bears that out. Her first career win came at Gowran Park in October 2024, and she has continued to develop from there.

What makes her profile particularly sharp right now is her best distance range. Over 7 furlongs to a mile, she has won 1 from 3 races — that is a 33% win rate, meaning she wins roughly 1 in every 3 races at those trips. For context, that is nearly double her overall career average. When the trip suits, she is a different proposition.

And her recent form is hard to argue with. In her last six races she has finished first, fourth, second, third, and third — that gap in the sequence aside, she has barely put a foot wrong. Most tellingly, she won at Down Royal just this week, making her as live and in-form as it gets. Horses rarely come into a profile fresher than one day after a victory.

At 4 years old, Chica Guerrera is still filling out her profile, and with a trainer firing on all cylinders behind her, there is every reason to think the best is not behind her yet.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 Jun
🏆 Won
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 12 runners
15 May
4th
Leopardstown
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
3 May
2nd
Sligo
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding_To_Soft · 10 runners
3 Apr
DNF
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft_To_Heavy · 20 runners
2 Nov
3rd
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 23 runners
21 Oct
3rd
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 29 runners
6 Oct
2nd
Killarney
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 7 runners
22 Sep
DNF
Listowel
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 14 runners
16 Aug
🏆 Won
Tramore
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
1 Aug
9th
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 21 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Keithen Kennedy
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Reese Holohan
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Ronan Whelan Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Joseph Harnett
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
4 2 thirds, 2 other 3 Apr 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 21 Oct 50%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 1 Aug 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 win 16 Aug 100%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 win 20 Jun 100%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 6 Oct 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Aug 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Dec 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 second 3 May 0%