Her record over 7 furlongs to a mile stands out. In 3 races at those distances she has won once — a 33% win rate, or 1 in 3 — which is a genuinely strong number. That suggests she is at her sharpest when the pace suits a horse who wants to travel and punch, rather than grind over longer trips. Her first career win came at Gowran Park in October 2024, and her most recent came at Tramore in August 2025, nine months ago now.
That gap is the thing worth watching. Her last 6 races have produced a place, a runner-up finish, a blank, and two thirds — active, competitive, but the winner's enclosure has stayed out of reach. She raced just yesterday, so Mark Fahey's yard is clearly keeping her busy and looking for the right opportunity to end that sequence. Fahey, based at Cloneygath in County Kildare, has had 24 winners this season, which is a healthy, productive yard — not a small operation throwing horses at races and hoping for the best.
At 4 years old, Chica Guerrera is still at an age where improvement is entirely possible, and a horse that places this often but wins only occasionally is often one good draw or one well-judged pace away from stringing a couple of wins together. The ingredients are there. The patience of her trainer clearly has not run out.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Curragh Galloping |
4 | 2 thirds, 2 other | 3 Apr | 0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 21 Oct | 50% |
| Galway Tight |
2 | 2 other | 1 Aug | 0% |
| Tramore Sharp |
1 | 1 win | 16 Aug | 100% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 20 Aug | 0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 | 1 second | 3 May | 0% |
| Listowel Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 22 Sep | 0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 4 Dec | 0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 | 1 second | 6 Oct | 0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 15 May | 0% |