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Chica Guerrera

Chica Guerrera is a 4-year-old who has spent two years learning her trade, picking up wins sparingly but consistently enough to suggest she knows what she is doing over a distance where she clearly feels at home. With three victories from 21 races, she wins roughly one in every seven outings — modest by elite standards, but the shape of her recent form tells a more encouraging story. In her last six races, she has finished in the money five times, including two second-place finishes and a win just four months ago at Down Royal in June. That suggests a horse who is reliable and honest rather than flaky, the sort who shows up and gives what she has got.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Elusive Gold
Trainer
Owner
Trouble Strife Syndicate
Official rating
93

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
3
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
47.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
7 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The distance between 7 furlongs and a mile suits her best — at that trip she has won one from three races, a 33 percent win rate that stands well above her career average and points to a sweet spot in the ground she covers. Her trainer Mark Fahey, based in County Kildare, has built a successful yard sending out 24 winners already this season, and Chica Guerrera looks like a horse he has had patience with, waiting for the right races rather than pitching her into battles she cannot win. She picked up her maiden victory at Gowran Park last October and has found the winner's circle twice more since then, most recently at Down Royal, where she proved she could deliver on the track when conditions aligned. Racing just yesterday, she remains active and keen, which at four years old is when many horses are still finding their feet in the sport.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Oct
9th
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 16 runners
22 Sep
7th
Listowel
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 12 runners
12 Sep
2nd
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 19 runners
5 Aug
2nd
Sligo
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 6 runners
31 Jul
14th
Galway
1m6f – 2m · Yielding_To_Soft · 18 runners
20 Jun
🏆 Won
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 12 runners
15 May
4th
Leopardstown
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
3 May
2nd
Sligo
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding_To_Soft · 10 runners
3 Apr
DNF
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft_To_Heavy · 20 runners
2 Nov
3rd
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 23 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Keithen Kennedy
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
Reese Holohan Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Joseph Harnett
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
4 2 thirds, 2 other 3 Apr 0%
Galway
Tight
3 3 other 31 Jul 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 21 Oct 50%
Listowel
Sharp
2 2 other 22 Sep 0%
Sligo
Sharp
2 2 seconds 5 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 win 20 Jun 100%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 win 16 Aug 100%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Dec 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 6 Oct 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Aug 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Oct 0%