Manton Bay
Manton Bay is a 3-year-old who shows promise at distances between one mile one furlong and one mile two furlongs, where the horse has won 2 of 6 races — a decent win rate of roughly 1 in 3. Over shorter or longer trips, though, the form dries up considerably. Across his entire record of 10 races, he has just 2 wins and 7 places, which works out to a 20 per cent win rate, and his most recent outing, just a day ago, resulted in an eighth-place finish. That said, his last two wins came at quality venues: first at Dundalk in November 2025, then again at Killarney seven weeks ago in August. He clearly has the ability to find his way to the winner's circle when conditions suit.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What is encouraging is that Manton Bay remains active and in training with David Marnane at Bansha, in County Tipperary. Marnane's yard has sent out 21 winners already this season, suggesting a trainer in decent form who knows how to get horses ready to win. The recent form figures tell a story of a horse who runs consistently — there is almost always money in the betting to be had — but who needs the right race at the right track to shine. His last six outings read 2-5-2-1-2-8, and while the eighth last time out was disappointing, the 1 and the two 2s before it show he still has the frame-work to get competitive. If Marnane can steer him back to that one-mile-one-to-one-mile-two sweet spot, where he actually wins races rather than just accumulating places, Manton Bay could become a much more valuable prospect.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Oct
2nd
Killarney
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 11 runners
13 Sep
5th
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 23 runners
29 Aug
2nd
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 18 runners
21 Aug
🏆 Won
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
23 Jul
2nd
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners
28 Jun
8th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 18 runners
16 May
2nd
Navan
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
27 Apr
3rd
Naas
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
7 Nov
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
27 Sep
6th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding_To_Soft · 16 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| The Curragh Galloping |
4 |
1 second, 3 other |
13 Sep |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
2 |
1 win, 1 second |
5 Oct |
50% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
7 Nov |
100% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
27 Apr |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
23 Jul |
0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
16 May |
0% |