The one win came at Dundalk in November 2025, and it arrived at a distance that still looks like the horse's sweet spot. Over one mile one furlong to one mile two furlongs — roughly a mile and a bit — Manton Bay has won one from three races, a 33% win rate that comfortably outperforms its overall record. That suggests a horse that is still finding its feet at shorter or longer trips, but knows exactly what it's doing when the distance suits.
Recent form tells an interesting story too. Reading the last five results from most recent to oldest — 8th, 2nd, 3rd, 1st, 6th — you can see a horse that went through a rough patch, found its level, and is now climbing back up the order. A second and a third in the two most recent runs after that win points to a horse that has not gone backwards since getting off the mark.
Manton Bay is trained by David Marnane out of Bansha in County Tipperary, a yard that has sent out 21 winners already this season — a genuinely productive operation. A trainer firing at that rate knows what horses need and when they are ready, which is encouraging context for a lightly raced three-year-old still working out what it can do. With the horse having raced just yesterday, there will be plenty more to come before the season is out.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Curragh Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 28 Jun | 0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 7 Nov | 100% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 27 Apr | 0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 16 May | 0% |