Epsom
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Lilley Plummer Risks City & Suburban Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Why this score
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- A. King wins 14.8% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 22-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Only four career races but already a winner at Epsom — making this one of the two course winners in the field, which is a real advantage around this unique, demanding track. It hasn't raced for five months and has limited data to work from, so there are unknowns. But the Epsom win and a generally solid early record give it an obvious angle.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Why this score
- J. & Thady Gosden wins 27.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Has won over this distance 2 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
TrackLab Insight
The data shows this horse has won two from five on normal ground, which is encouraging for today, and its best form has come at a mile and a quarter — exactly today's distance. It's returning from a five-month break and has no standout angle that separates it from rivals, but William Buick in the saddle and a Gosden yard in form are always worth a mention. A decent outside chance if returning to form.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- R. Varian has a good 22.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- A 29.2% win rate at this course for R. Dawson. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- 22 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The standout stat here is simple: this horse wins half its races, the best rate in the entire field. Roger Varian's runner has won 3 of just 6 career outings, but it hasn't been seen on a racecourse for six months, which is a real unknown. If it returns in the shape it left, it's among the most interesting horses in the race — if not, that absence could cost it dearly.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Why this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 38% win rate from 8 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- This is a 22-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Three of this horse's four career wins have come on normal ground, which is the best ground-form profile of any runner here for today's conditions. It ran two excellent seconds at York before flopping badly at Doncaster — and hasn't raced since, meaning we're five months without a run. The ground is right; the question is whether the layoff has blunted a horse that was in good form.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has won 4 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- T. Dascombe wins only 5.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
This horse last raced seven months ago, the second-longest absence in the field, and has never won on normal ground across four attempts — both facts that make it a tough sell for today. It did win a Class 2 at Windsor before that break, so ability is not in question. But a record of zero wins from six races on left-handed tracks like Epsom is a serious red flag.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- With a 17% win rate overall, O. Murphy is one of the more dependable riders.
- Has won at this distance 2 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- This is a 22-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive top-three finishes is the standout marker here — this horse is in the form of its life and arrived having won at Chelmsford just 40 days ago. It has a solid record on normal ground and is partnered by one of the top jockeys in the sport. The step up to a big open handicap field is new territory, but the momentum behind this run is hard to ignore.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- W. Haggas has won 19.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 22 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The key detail here is that this horse is dropping two levels in class compared to where it usually runs — which in theory makes life easier. It has won 3 from 8 career races, a strong return, but has never won on normal ground and comes off a 7th-place finish at Doncaster 24 days ago. The class drop is interesting, but the ground record is a worry.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- R. Moore wins 18.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 22 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The numbers here are stark: zero wins from seven races on left-handed galloping tracks like Epsom, and zero wins from six races on right-handed galloping tracks too — meaning this horse's four career wins have come elsewhere. Ryan Moore in the saddle is always worth noting, but the track profile is a significant obstacle. Its wins have come at Goodwood, a very different type of circuit.
Among the more experienced (23 career races)
Why this score
- K. Philippart De Foy has a good 31.2% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 22-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This horse has never raced on normal ground — every career run has been on a different surface — so today is a complete unknown in that sense. It's dropping three class levels from where it usually competes, which gives it a theoretical edge over rivals, and it ran a fine second just 32 days ago. But the ground uncertainty is a genuine question mark that can't be answered until the race is run.
Drops 3 classes from usual level
Never raced on normal ground
Why this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- With a 15.3% win rate overall, J. Doyle is one of the more dependable riders.
- C. Johnston wins only 2.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
This horse has won two from three on normal ground, which is the best record in the field for today's conditions — a meaningful edge in a 22-runner field. However, the last three runs have been poor, including a 19th at Newmarket and a 6th at Kempton just 24 days ago. There's a clear gap between what the ground stats suggest and what recent form shows.
2nd highest rated (OR 100)
Why this score
- 2 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
This horse has the best record in the field at this specific distance — winning 2 from 3 races over a mile and two furlongs — which is a genuine tick for today. The problem is it loves wet, muddy ground and has never won on normal conditions, so the standard Epsom surface works against it. Add a five-month absence and the case gets harder to make.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
In its last six races this horse has finished 2nd, 3rd, 1st, 1st, 4th, 10th — a genuinely consistent recent run that puts it firmly in contention. It came within a nose of winning at Doncaster just 23 days ago, so it arrives here in good order. The slight reservation is that all its wins have come on soft or wet ground, and today's normal surface is untested territory.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in this 22-runner field with just 7 career races, and returning from a five-month break to boot. The last run was a 12th at Doncaster in a top-level race, which was a step too far. There's potential here — a Class 2 win is on the record — but this is a big, competitive field for a horse still finding its way.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
This horse has the best record on today's ground of any runner in the field — three wins from four races on normal conditions, a 75% hit rate that is remarkable. It also won at Epsom itself last April, making it one of the few genuine course winners here. The last three runs were all at Meydan in Dubai and went poorly, so it needs to bounce back sharply, but the profile for this race fits better than almost anyone.
Best record on this ground (3 from 4)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
This horse hasn't raced for eight months — the second-longest absence in the field — and the last two runs before that break were a 14th and a 15th. With only six career races and thin data overall, there is very little to go on. The return from such a long break in a 22-runner field makes this a speculative selection at best.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absentee in the entire field — this horse hasn't raced for 300 days, roughly ten months. Before that break, form was patchy with a best run of third at Carlisle. With just 8 career races and limited form to analyse, combined with that huge gap, it is very difficult to assess. This is a horse that needs to be taken on trust after a very long time away.
Absent 300 days (longest in field)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
One of only two horses in this field who have actually won at Epsom before — and this one has done it twice, which is a meaningful edge on a quirky, undulating track that not every horse takes to. The concern is that those wins came on softer ground, and today's normal conditions have produced zero wins from his four attempts in similar conditions. Form on the day could hinge entirely on whether the ground suits.
One of few course winners (2 wins here)
Why this score
- Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
This is one of the more experienced horses in the field with 19 career races, and it won a decent Class 2 at Lingfield as recently as December. However, recent runs have been modest — 7th at Wolverhampton and an unplaced effort before that — and the data doesn't paint a clear picture of how it handles Epsom specifically. Solid enough but no obvious reason to single it out.
Among the more experienced (19 career races)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The last three runs here tell a bleak story: 13th, 11th, and 18th — this horse has simply not been getting near the action. It has won on normal ground before, so today's conditions aren't the problem, but the recent form makes it very hard to make a case. At a win rate of roughly 1 in 7, it needs everything to fall perfectly.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The most raced horse in the field with 36 outings, winning just 4 of them — roughly 1 in every 9 — which is modest company for a race of this quality. The recent form shows three fourth-place finishes, consistent but never quite good enough. Its wins have come on normal ground, which is a tick, but a record of zero wins from nine attempts on faster ground suggests it needs things to go its way.
Most experienced (36 runs, field avg 14)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
This horse raced 18 days ago and came third at Lingfield, so it arrives here fresh and in reasonable order — one of the few runners in this field with genuinely recent, active form. It has won 5 from 27 career races and its best performances have come on faster ground rather than normal conditions, where it has never won. Active and consistent, but today's ground could be a limiting factor.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Carrying the lowest weight in the field and rated 14 pounds below the field average — the biggest weight advantage on paper, which in a handicap like this can occasionally prove decisive. It finished second at Epsom itself five months ago, showing the track holds no fears. The caveat is a poor record on normal ground and a five-month break, but the weight and course form are genuine positives.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.