The most recent win, five weeks ago at Epsom, suggests Carnival Day has found a groove. It was ridden then by Pat Cosgrave, its most frequent partner, though their overall record together stands at 1 win from 7 races—hardly a brilliant partnership, but they do seem to click occasionally. Since that Epsom success, the horse has raced six times and shown inconsistency: a second place followed by a third, a fifth, and a fourth. This is typical of horses at Carnival Day's level. It competes mostly in Class 4 races, where the standard is moderate, and that explains why a 15% win rate overall feels less impressive than it might—the horse is not beating top-class animals.
Still, Carnival Day is actively racing, with a run just yesterday, and it remains sound and competitive. Jim Boyle's yard has had a productive season with 25 winners, so the training is solid. For anyone watching its next race, especially if it runs at Epsom on a day when the ground is soft or muddy, there is genuine reason to watch closely. Carnival Day knows that track and adores those conditions. Strip away everything else, and that is worth remembering.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
8 | 2 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 2 other | 27 Sep | 25% |
| Sandown Park Galloping |
6 | 1 win, 1 third, 4 other | 28 Aug | 16.7% |
| Brighton Undulating |
2 | 1 win, 1 third | 12 Apr | 50% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 10 Feb | 0% |
| Bath Undulating |
1 | 1 second | 21 Oct | 0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
1 | 1 third | 20 Jun | 0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 19 May | 0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 12 Aug | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 14 Oct | 0% |
| chelmsford | 1 | 1 other | 11 Nov | 0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 28 Oct | 0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 10 Jun | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 24 Jul | 0% |