Epsom
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Betfred 'In Celebration Of Mark Friar' Handicap
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 16.0% overall win rate for R. Beckett. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The most impressive win rate in the field — winning 1 in 3 races — but has been off the track for nearly seven months, which is longer than any other runner here. His two wins both came over seven furlongs to a mile, so the trip suits, but he has gone without a win in his last three races and all three came in tougher company. A potentially talented horse returning rusty: the ability is there, but the timing of the comeback matters.
Absent 206 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Both of his career wins have come at Goodwood, and he has never won anywhere else across 16 races — making him one of the more one-track specialists in this field. His last run was a distant 11th at Doncaster just 24 days ago, which is a difficult result to ignore. At a course he has never won at on ground conditions he has never won on, there is limited reason for optimism here.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- A 13.2% overall win rate for T. Marquand. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Remarkably, this horse is lining up again just three days after finishing 15th at Newbury — the shortest turnaround in the field by some distance. His previous run at this very course was a fourth, so Epsom is not unknown to him, but that Newbury effort raises real questions about whether he is in the best shape right now. Hard to fancy after such a quick return from a poor performance.
Runs again after just 3 days
Why this score
- A 19.2% overall win rate for W. Buick. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- I. Williams wins 11.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Unusually, Shafdar has never raced on normal ground conditions — all his experience has come on artificial surfaces or other ground types — so today is genuinely uncharted territory for him. He had strung together three consecutive top-three finishes before a 13th-place finish at Newcastle 18 days ago brought that run to a sharp halt. William Buick is a top jockey and his presence adds interest, but the unknown quantity of racing on this surface makes this a harder call than it might look.
Never raced on normal ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Five wins from 19 races puts Knights Gold among the most prolific winners in this field, but his last six results tell a very different story — a sequence that includes finishes of 7th, 9th, and 10th with nothing better. He has also never won on normal ground conditions, which is exactly what he faces today. There is a horse with genuine ability in here somewhere, but it has gone quiet at a difficult moment.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Why this score
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- R. Hannon wins 12.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The most lightly raced runner in the field with just two career races, but those two races produced a win and a second place — a remarkable hit rate that no rival can match. He won at Lingfield just seven days ago, returning quickly, and crucially he has never raced on normal ground or at a course like Epsom, so there are real unknowns here. The form is eye-catching but the experience is paper-thin compared to the rest of this 18-runner field.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Runs again after just 7 days
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Jimmy Speaking arrives here on the back of a win at Doncaster 23 days ago, which makes him one of the freshest form horses in the race. With four career wins from 24 races, he has a solid if unspectacular record, but he has never won on the normal ground conditions he will face today — a blank from eight attempts on faster surfaces is a clear concern. The winning momentum is a plus, but the ground record works against him.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Why this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Back for a second race in three days, this horse ran a decent fourth at Thirsk recently and a fourth at Doncaster before that — consistency at the minor positions, but no wins on ground like this in five attempts. His two wins have come on very different surfaces, and normal conditions appear to be the ground he struggles with most. The willingness to keep running is admirable, but the quick turnaround and ground concern make him a tough selection.
Runs again after just 3 days
Why this score
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- J. Boyle has won 10.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, Carnival Day has won at Epsom before and was second here just over six months ago — which gives him a clear edge in course familiarity. He is returning from a 175-day absence, which is a risk, but his record here suggests the track genuinely suits him. Normal ground is his weakness on paper — no wins from three attempts — but the course form is the most relevant factor and it makes him interesting.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Why this score
- C. Bishop has a good 23.3% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The standout stat here is that Silver Trumpet has won twice from six races on normal ground conditions — the best record on today's going of any runner in the field. He also has previous form at this course, finishing second here over a mile about six months ago, so both the track and the trip are familiar territory. He is 12th in the betting on ratings but his specific suitability to today's conditions makes him worth a closer look.
Best record on this ground (2 from 6)
Why this score
- An experienced horse with 50 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A 5.6% record at this course for M. Attwater. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a long way — 50 races compared to a field average of 18 — but the veteran is running at a course where his strengths do not translate. His six career wins have almost all come on artificial surfaces, particularly at Wolverhampton where he has won four times, and he has never won on normal ground in 10 attempts. At seven years old and with recent finishes of 6th, 5th, and 6th, it is hard to make a case for him here.
Most experienced (50 runs, field avg 18)
Why this score
- Has raced 12 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- J. Portman wins 7.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
At nine years old, Sweet Reward is the oldest horse in this field and is returning from nearly six months off the track — a combination that demands some caution. He has won at Epsom before, which counts for something, but his last six finishes include a 7th, two 5ths, a 6th, a 3rd, and a 9th, and there are no clear signs of an upturn. The course form offers a flicker of hope, but the age, the layoff, and the recent results all point in the same direction.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Why this score
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 2.7. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Foreseen arrives here without a win on normal ground conditions from four attempts, which is the most significant mark against him today. However, he has been knocking loudly on the door recently — a win, then a third, then a fourth beaten less than a length at Lingfield — suggesting his form is sharper than it has been for a while. If he can translate that Lingfield consistency to a very different type of track, he becomes interesting, but Epsom's undulating course is nothing like where he has been shining.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- Wins 25% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Tribal Rhythm is the only runner who has specifically won over this course and distance combination — a fact that stands out in an 18-horse field and gives him a real claims. He ran a promising second at Bath just 16 days ago, suggesting current form is reasonable, and his record at a mile from three attempts reads one win and additional places. Oisin Murphy, one of the best jockeys in the country, takes the ride on a horse rated 12lbs below the field average — if the the yard thought he had no chance, they wouldn't have booked him.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Why this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 0% record at this course for M. Pattinson. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The standout markers here tell an honest story: no clear distinguishing angle, and a record of zero wins on normal ground, wet ground, or artificial surfaces across a combined 10 races. Two wins from 20 races is a modest return, and recent form — 4th, unplaced, 7th — does not suggest a change is coming. Hollie Doyle is a top jockey, but there is not much in the data to build a case around.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- Wins 25% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- An 11.7% overall win rate for G. Baker. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Atlantis Blue is returning from nearly six months off the track, which is one of the longer absences in this field, and her recent form before that break reads 4th, 7th, and 5th. She has never won on normal ground conditions from four attempts, which is a straightforward concern for today. With a rating 5lbs below the field average and a difficult recent profile, this looks like a tough assignment on comeback.
Among the more experienced (27 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just five career races, and the only runner yet to win a single race. Three consecutive fifth-place finishes before a 132-day break off the track gives very little to work with, and stepping into an 18-runner competitive race off a long absence is a tough ask. With a rating 8lbs below the field average, the data does not make a compelling case.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 13lbs below average — and her record on normal ground conditions reads zero wins from six attempts, which is the most important number for today. She has won at this course and distance before, which is a genuine positive, but the ground record is a major stumbling block given that is exactly what she faces today. A specialist on wet or muddy ground who is likely to need conditions to change before she becomes a serious threat.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Has won over this course and distance
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.