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Epsom

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Weatherbys Global Stallions App Great Metropolitan Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Awaiting result
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 1.5 miles Good ground Mid-level race 18 runners £12,885 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 2 of last 5 Won here 2 times Likes this ground (wins 50% of runs) Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • R. Hornby has won 10.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Handles this ground well, with 50% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • R. Hornby has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The one proven course winner in this field is the standout credential, but the recent form makes it very hard to trust — this horse finished last of 18 at Cheltenham just six weeks ago, beaten nearly 40 lengths. Before that, two consecutive last-placed efforts in top-level races suggest it has been struggling at the very highest class. Dropping back in grade could help, but the form needs to recover sharply.
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 27% of runs) Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Handles this ground well, with 27% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • Has had 38 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
  • 2 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 38 races under its belt — more than double the field average of 14 — and importantly has won over this course and distance before. However, the data shows it has never won on right-handed galloping tracks in five attempts, which is a significant concern at Epsom. Has been running in Dubai recently and ran third there last month, so fitness shouldn't be an issue.
Has won over this course and distance Most experienced (38 runs, field avg 14)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 164 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 25% win rate from 4 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
  • W. Buick wins 19.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Absent for around five months after a very poor run at Doncaster where it finished 21st of 21, beaten nearly 49 lengths — not the run you want fresh in the memory heading into a return. William Buick, a top-level jockey, takes the ride which is a positive sign, but this combination has only managed two wins from 22 races together. Needs to bounce back sharply from that dismal Doncaster effort.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 207 days off Won 3 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • Handles this ground well, with 25% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • R. Beckett wins 18.2% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated in the field and boasts one of the better win rates here, having won 3 of just 7 career races — roughly 3 in every 7 outings. The big question is fitness: this horse hasn't raced in nearly seven months, and coming back from a long absence in a competitive 18-runner field is a genuine risk. Talented enough on paper, but needs to prove it's ready to fire first time out.
2nd highest rated (OR 95)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 3 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 75% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 75% win rate from 4 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
  • A 17% overall win rate for O. Murphy. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This horse has the best career win rate in the entire field — winning roughly 1 in every 2 races it enters — and arrives here on the back of a win at Kempton just 15 days ago, making it the freshest winning form in the race. Crucially, it has won 3 from 4 races on normal ground, the exact conditions today, which is the best ground record of any runner here. Oisin Murphy, one of the top jockeys in Britain, takes the ride for a trainer they've won over 200 races together with.
Best record on this ground (3 from 4) Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Back after 89 days off Won 3 of last 5
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • An average finish of 2.3 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight of any runner in the field, which is always an advantage, but arrives here dropping two classes from its usual level — meaning today's competition is stiffer territory. The ground record is a real problem: this horse has never won on good turf ground in five attempts, and has also failed to win on right-handed galloping tracks like Epsom in five tries. Two separate ground and track concerns make this a tough sell.
Carries lowest weight in field Drops 2 classes from usual level
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • With an 18.2% win rate overall, R. Moore is one of the more dependable riders.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by some margin, carrying an official rating 11 points above average, and arrives in excellent form after finishing a whisker behind the winner at Doncaster just three weeks ago. Ryan Moore, one of the best jockeys in the world, takes the ride — a clear sign this horse is expected to go well. The low draw is a real bonus at Epsom, where horses drawn in stalls 1-6 win at more than four times the rate of those drawn high.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Lingfield just 18 days ago, giving it the most recent winning form in the race alongside Topteam, and has been placing consistently in recent runs. The bigger concern is a record of zero wins from 10 races on right-handed galloping tracks — Epsom is exactly that type of course, which is a significant red flag. Riding with an apprentice jockey claiming a weight allowance could help, but the track record here is hard to ignore.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Has been racing in Dubai over the winter and most recently finished a well-beaten ninth at Meydan, which is not the preparation any trainer would have chosen. The switch back to British racing and normal ground conditions is an unknown — and the data shows this horse has never won on good ground in three attempts. Hard to get excited about here without a more encouraging recent run.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The most notable thing about Too Soon is a Class 2 win right here at Epsom, making it one of only two proven course winners in the field alongside Give It To Me OJ. The problem is that win came nearly seven months ago, and since then this horse has finished 11th, 8th, and 11th — a run of form that offers very little encouragement. With just one win from 12 career races, it needs to rediscover that Epsom magic quickly.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 264 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absentee in the entire field — this horse hasn't raced in roughly nine months, which is a serious concern for any horse stepping into an 18-runner competitive field. Last two runs before the break were 14th and 15th in good company, so the form going into the break was already deteriorating. Very hard to make a case for this one until it shows it can recapture its earlier promise.
Absent 264 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 4 times
Why this score
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
A consistent enough performer with five wins from 27 career races, and ran third at Lingfield just 18 days ago to show it's in decent working order. The ground record is a concern though — this horse has never won on normal or slow artificial surfaces, and while Epsom is turf, the data suggests it much prefers fast, dry conditions to what's on offer today. In a field this competitive, that ground uncertainty is hard to overlook.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
One of the more intriguing angles here — this horse drops two classes from its usual level of competition, which in plain terms means today's race should be more within reach than what it has been facing recently. The consistent record is encouraging too: it has finished in the top two in four of five career races without ever running a shocker. The catch is it has never raced on normal turf ground before, so there is a genuine unknown at the heart of its chances.
Drops 2 classes from usual level Never raced on normal ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just three career races, which makes it a complete unknown quantity in an 18-runner race like this. Like Fierce Fortitude from the same trainer, it has never raced on normal turf ground — both of its previous wins came on artificial surfaces — so today is a step into the unknown on multiple fronts. The raw record is tidy enough, but there is simply not enough data to know how it will handle Epsom.
Never raced on normal ground Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 241 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Still searching for a first career win from five races, though the record shows consistent effort — three top-three finishes and never far off the pace. The problem is this horse hasn't raced in eight months, making it one of the longer absentees in the field, and stepping into a wide-open 18-runner race off that break is a tough ask. Interesting long-term, but hard to fancy for the win here.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 85 days off Won 1 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 44% of runs) Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
At eight years old, this is the oldest horse in the field by some distance and has built an admirable career record of 8 wins from 28 races — more total wins than anyone else here. The last run ended in an unseated rider at Kempton, which clouds the form picture, and at this age the question is always whether the best days are behind it. On the right ground the data shows it can still perform, but that Kempton incident is a worry heading in.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 94 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 67% of runs)
Why this score
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Rated 9 points below the field average and has never won on a left-handed galloping track in six attempts — which is a problem, because Epsom is exactly that type of course. The best form has come over shorter distances than today's 1m4f, and a poor recent run in a lower-grade race at Lingfield three months ago does nothing to inspire confidence. The data points consistently in the wrong direction for this race.
Among the more experienced (14 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Back quickly after its last run Won 2 of last 5 Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • S. Mark Prescott Bt wins 25.5% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Ran and won at Newcastle just yesterday — racing again after a single day's rest is almost unheard of and raises obvious questions about whether the horse can back it up so quickly. The best record at this distance (two wins from three races) and a drop in class from recent runs are genuine positives, but the one-day turnaround is the headline fact here and makes this one of the most unusual entries in the field. Fascinating to watch, but very hard to assess.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average Drops 2 classes from usual level Best record at this trip (2 from 3) Runs again after just 1 days
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.