Epsom
·
Betfred Blue Riband Trial (Listed Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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14
Study Of Words
A 23% win rate at this course for C. Appleby
10
Why this score
- A 23% win rate at this course for C. Appleby. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- C. Appleby has won 25.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick, one of the most successful partnerships in British racing — they have won together more than 300 times. Study Of Words finished second at Goodwood before winning at Newmarket, both in good-quality company, and that improving run gives it a credible profile heading into this race. The five-month break is the same question mark that hangs over several rivals here.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Rated 20.5 points above the average for this race. A horse rated above its rivals has an edge.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field with an official rating of 74, which is 20 points below the average of the other rated runners — that's a significant gap at this level. Four career races and still no win, with a fifth-place finish last time out at Kempton. There is no obvious angle that makes Green Falcon stand out here, and the data doesn't offer a strong case for it reversing that pattern today.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- R. Hannon has an 11.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Pearl River holds the unwanted distinction of being absent longer than any other horse in this field — nearly 200 days since it last ran. That last run was a win at Nottingham, which ended a sequence that had seen it finish fourth, fifth, and sixth in a row, so there is a question of whether that victory was a true step forward or a simpler opportunity taken. Rated 12 points below the field average, it faces a tough task on paper.
Absent 195 days (longest in field)
10
Pursuit Of Love
C. Appleby has a good 23% record here
9
Why this score
- C. Appleby has a good 23% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- W. Buick wins 19.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
There is almost nothing in the data to analyse here — one career race, no win, no placed finish, and the result of that run isn't even recorded. What can be said is that this horse drops two levels of class today and has never raced on normal ground, so it is stepping into the unknown on multiple fronts. The trainer, Charlie Appleby, is one of the sharpest in the business, and jockey William Buick is a top-level partner, but the horse itself remains a mystery.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- A. King wins 14.8% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- R. Ryan has won 15.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Spyce ran in top-level company at Newmarket last autumn and finished fourth — the same race in which Action finished second — so it has been tested at the highest level and wasn't disgraced. Its only win came on a surface it has never experienced in this kind of company, and it returns from a five-month break without having raced on normal ground before. There is ability here, but several unknowns to navigate.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- A 17% overall win rate for O. Murphy. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- R. Hughes has won 13.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Winding Stream faces the steepest class jump of any horse in this race — dropping four levels from its usual territory, which suggests this is a step into far deeper water than it has experienced before. Its two career runs came on artificial surfaces, so normal ground is uncharted territory. Ridden by Oisin Murphy, a top-class jockey, but the horse itself has a lot to prove at this level.
Drops 4 classes from usual level
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- A 22.2% win rate at this course for S. James. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- K. R. Burke wins 12.2% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The standout angle here is simple: Shayem is the only horse in this 16-runner field that has already won at Epsom, and that matters on a course famous for its twists and undulations. He also has the best career win rate in the field — three wins from five races, or roughly one win in every two — though his run just six days ago at Newmarket ended in fifth, so he's coming here on a quick turnaround after a below-par effort.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
Runs again after just 6 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Why this score
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 2. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from four races is a tidy record, and the horse comes here in form after winning 32 days ago. However, A Taste Of Glory drops two levels of class to run here, which suggests the yard may be using this as a confidence-builder rather than targeting a tough race — and crucially, this horse has never raced on normal ground conditions before, which adds an unknown.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on normal ground
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 0% record at this course for J. Chapple-Hyam. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced runner in what is a competitive field, with just two career races to its name. It won at Kempton 20 days ago, but that came three levels below the class of this race — the biggest drop in grade of any horse here — so stepping up this sharply is a major leap into the unknown. With almost no data to go on, this is a horse that asks more questions than it answers.
Drops 3 classes from usual level
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- The trainer's record at this course is a plus. Knowing a track helps with getting the horse ready.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One race, one win — a perfect record, and that win came in a Class 2 race at Kempton, which is a serious level for a debut. The issue is that Rebel Rocker has never raced on normal ground, and everything it has shown so far comes from a single appearance five months ago on an artificial surface. There is undeniable intrigue here, but also a very thin evidence base.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- J. & Thady Gosden wins 27.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Like Rebel Rocker, Wise Prince has a perfect record — one race, one win — and that victory came in a Class 2 race at Nottingham, so the quality of competition was genuine. Trained by John and Thady Gosden, one of the most respected yards in the country, which adds credibility to the prospect. However, it has never raced on normal ground and returns from roughly six months off, making it hard to assess with any real confidence.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in this field, and with two wins from four races, this is a horse that has done almost everything right in a short career. His last run at Doncaster was a top-level race and he finished third, which is no disgrace. The concern is that he hasn't raced in roughly five months, and first time back from a long break can catch even the best horses cold.
2nd highest rated (OR 112)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the entire field by three pounds, which at this level is a meaningful edge over his rivals. His last two runs were both in the highest-class races Britain has to offer, finishing second and third respectively — this is a horse that has repeatedly shown it belongs at the top. Like his stablemate Benvenuto Cellini, the five-month absence is the only real question mark.
Top rated by 3lbs
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Menzies won on debut at Kempton earlier this year, which is an eye-catching start, but it has dropped three levels of class to run in this race, which is an unusual move for a horse supposedly on the way up. It has also never raced on normal ground conditions, so today's surface is unexplored territory. With just three career races, there is still plenty to learn about this horse.
Drops 3 classes from usual level
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Trained by Aidan O'Brien, New Zealand ran in top-level company at Newmarket last autumn and finished fourth, beaten just one and a half lengths — a solid effort at the highest level. The horse has only raced three times in total, so it is very much a work in progress, but the quality is clearly there. Returning from roughly six months off is the main hurdle, though O'Brien's stable tends to have its horses ready when they reappear.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Shabab Al Ahli races again just four days after finishing fourth at Newbury — one of the quickest turnarounds in this field. That rapid reappearance after a below-par effort is an unusual call, and the horse also drops two levels of class today. With only two career races to its name, there simply isn't enough evidence yet to know how good this horse might be.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Runs again after just 4 days
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.