Epsom
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Betfred 'Nifty 50' Handicap
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Why this score
- O. Murphy has won 17% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A. Balding wins 14.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Montague Menace arrives on the back of a win at Lingfield 25 days ago, giving it the kind of recent momentum most rivals here lack. However, it has never raced on normal ground conditions before, so today represents a new test — one that could suit or unsettle it. Jockey Oisin Murphy is one of the best in the business, and his presence alongside a trainer who wins roughly 1 in 5 races together makes this a combination worth respecting.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Runswick is one of very few horses in this 15-runner field who has actually won at Epsom before, which on a quirky, demanding track like this is a meaningful advantage. The concern is a near seven-month absence since its last run, and that last outing was a poor tenth at Newmarket. Fitness after such a long break is the big question, even with course form in the locker.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- M. Ghiani has won 13.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The standout marker here is a little misleading — Chapter's 1-in-5 win rate is flagged as the best in the field, but several rivals match or better it. What is genuinely interesting is that its last run was a close third in a higher-class race at Doncaster, suggesting it is mixing it with decent company. It returns from five months off, though, so fitness after the winter break is a legitimate concern.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Why this score
- Handles this ground well, with 33% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- A 25% win rate at this course for O. Sangster. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Mayaada is the most experienced horse in the field with 10 races under its belt — nearly double the field average — and crucially, it has already won at Epsom, making it one of very few proven course winners here. The problem is that its last three runs have been poor, including a ninth-place finish just 24 days ago beaten over 22 lengths. There is a big gap between what this horse has done at its best and what it has shown recently.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Most experienced (10 runs, field avg 5)
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- W. Buick has won 19.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Aerial Silk has yet to win from three races but has been consistently placed, finishing third, fourth, and fourth — always in the mix without quite getting there. It returns from a five-month break, and the notable name in the saddle is William Buick, one of the top jockeys in the country. Whether the talent matches the booking remains to be seen after such a long absence.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- With an average finish of 2 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Royal Bodyguard has the longest absence in the entire field — it has not raced for over seven months, which is a significant concern regardless of its previous consistency. Before that break, it was placing regularly and has finished in the frame six times from seven races. The talent is there on form, but seven months off is a long time, and first-time-out horses returning from such breaks often need the run.
Absent 215 days (longest in field)
Why this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Assaranca is one of the most experienced horses in this field alongside Mayaada, but its last two runs — both sixth-place finishes — suggest it is not in peak form right now. Its one win came at a modest level, and a subsequent sixth in a top Class 1 race at Newbury showed the limits of what it can do at its current ceiling. Normal ground today suits it on the stats, but the recent trend is not encouraging.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Why this score
- 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Terranoble arrives with a win from its most recent outing at Wolverhampton, giving it fresher winning form than almost anything else in this field. It has won 1 from 3 races overall — a solid ratio — but has never raced on normal ground, having done all its racing on artificial surfaces indoors. Whether it can transfer that form to a real turf track like Epsom is the key question today.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- R. Ryan has won 15.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- R. Beckett wins 16.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
On Message has won 1 of its 3 races so far, but it has never competed on normal ground — all its racing has come on different surfaces — so today is an unknown quantity in that regard. It also returns from nearly six months off, which adds another layer of uncertainty for a horse with so little experience. The talent may be there, but this asks several questions at once.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- S. Woods has an 8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Booziebrunch is one of the busier runners in this field with nine races to its name, and it has been remarkably consistent without winning — placed in six of those nine outings. It ran just 19 days ago at Southwell, finishing second, so it arrives race-fit and in decent form. The caveat is a poor record on normal ground — no wins from three attempts on this kind of surface.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
This is Seu Jo's first ever race — there is literally no previous form to judge it on, which makes it a complete unknown in a field where most rivals have something on the board. It carries one of the highest official ratings in the race despite never having raced, which suggests the trainer thinks highly of it. Whether that confidence is justified, nobody outside the yard truly knows.
Racecourse debut
6
Bridge Of Eagles
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
1
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Three races in and still searching for a first win, Bridge of Eagles has a single third-place finish to its name from a modest level of competition. It returns from a four-month break having last run in a Class 2 race at Kempton where it finished sixth, beaten four and a half lengths. There is not much here to grab onto — this is a horse that has yet to prove itself at any level.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Delinquent has no wins from five races but has been racing frequently and finishing competitively, with a third place just 14 days ago at Southwell. The data flags no clear distinguishing angle in this field, and honestly that is the honest summary — this is a horse that keeps running without finding a way to win. It needs to find something extra to change that pattern.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Upsomdowns has never raced on normal ground — every run so far has come on artificial surfaces — so stepping onto Epsom turf today is an entirely new experience. It has not won in four attempts but did finish second last time out at Lingfield, beaten two lengths. How it handles a very different surface is the central unknown, and Epsom's famously undulating track is as different from an indoor artificial track as it gets.
Never raced on normal ground
Why this score
- S. Mark Prescott Bt wins 25.5% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Raspoutine carries the lowest weight and the lowest official rating in the field — rated 8lbs below the field average — but it won at Lingfield just seven days ago and is back already, which is an unusually quick turnaround. It has never raced on normal ground, so turf at Epsom is uncharted territory. The low weight is an advantage in a race like this, but the step up in class and change of surface are genuine tests.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on normal ground
Runs again after just 7 days
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.