Epsom
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Weatherbys Racing Bank Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Why this score
- R. Dawson wins 29.2% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 19.4% win rate at this course for D. Menuisier. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Get Outta Here has raced just once — a seventh at Kempton on an artificial surface 13 days ago — which means today on normal ground at Epsom is a completely new experience for this 3-year-old. The jockey and trainer have raced together five times without a win between them, which adds another layer of uncertainty. There is genuinely very little to go on, and honest assessment means admitting that.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- R. Varian has a good 22.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- R. Varian has won 19.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Knights Charge returns from a 141-day absence — the second-longest break in this field — having shown genuine promise in his only race, finishing third at Kempton and earning his place on the board. He has also never raced on normal ground before, so today is a new test on two fronts: the fresh conditions and the extended rest. He is trained by Roger Varian, whose yard has been in excellent form this season, which is the most positive thing you can say about a horse with just one run to his name.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Princling is the only horse in this field to have placed in every single race he has entered — twice second, once at Kempton beaten just a nose — and he arrives with the most accomplished jockey-trainer partnership here: Tom Marquand and William Haggas have won 272 races from 1,269 together, winning roughly 1 in every 4-5 races. The concern is a 172-day absence, the longest in the field, so there is a real question about whether he returns in the same form that had him so close to winning twice as a youngster. If he does, he has as strong a case as anyone.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 172 days (longest in field)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- Finished 11th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Clough is a 4-year-old who has raced twice and finished 11th and 8th — beaten by over 30 lengths in both outings, which means he hasn't been anywhere near competitive on either occasion. That is about as thin a foundation as you can build on coming into this race. With a new jockey on board for the first time and a low draw that at least gives him a statistical edge at this course, there is not much to get excited about yet.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- A 10.0% overall win rate for J. Boyle. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Hattie's Comet makes his debut today with no racecourse form to speak of, but he is partnered by Pat Cosgrave, who has an established relationship with trainer Jim Boyle — they have won together 17 times from 191 races, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 11 outings. That is a steady, reliable combination rather than a flashy one. As with all first-timers, the outcome is unknown, but at least there is a settled partnership in the saddle.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- R. Beckett wins 16.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- An 18.2% win rate at this course for R. Beckett. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Mick The Hat has raced twice — both on artificial surfaces — and finished fifth then eighth, so he arrives here having never raced on normal ground, meaning today is an entirely new experience for him. The jockey-trainer combination of Hector Crouch and Ralph Beckett is one of the most productive pairings in this field, with 144 wins from 707 races together — roughly 1 in every 5. If the switch to a proper turf track suits him, this combination knows how to get the best out of a young horse.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Hengest is another 4-year-old from the same yard as Clough, also without a win or a placed finish from his two races so far. His most recent run — sixth at Yarmouth, beaten just over 12 lengths — is actually the more encouraging of the two, suggesting he may be edging closer to finding his rhythm. Like Clough, he benefits from a low draw at a course where that has historically made a difference.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Pureis King carries the best win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 5 races — but his last three runs have been forgettable, including an 11th in a top-level race at Cheltenham that was arguably out of his depth. His one win came over a much longer distance than today's mile, and his best form looks to be over 2 miles or more, making this trip a potential concern. He's the most experienced horse in the top half of the field but arrives in poor recent form.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Nuptown Girl is by far the most experienced horse in the field with 13 races to her name — the field average is just 3 — and she has placed four times without ever winning, most recently finishing third at Southwell 24 days ago. The big question mark here is that she has never raced on normal ground before; all her form has come on artificial or softer surfaces, so today's conditions are genuinely unknown territory. If she takes to it, her consistency puts her ahead of most rivals; if she doesn't, that 0-from-13 record tells its own story.
Never raced on normal ground
Most experienced (13 runs, field avg 3)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Champion Lawman has never raced before, so there is simply nothing to judge him on — no form, no times, no clues from the track. He is trained by Charlie Johnston, a well-established name in British flat racing, which at least means he will have been prepared professionally. First-time runners are always a leap of faith for anyone trying to work out what might happen.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- A 31.2% win rate at this course for K. Philippart De Foy. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Domenico Contarini has raced twice and never on normal ground — all his experience has come on artificial surfaces, so today marks a genuine step into the unknown for this 3-year-old. What he does have is a runner-up finish on his second start at Newcastle, beaten just a length, which shows he can get close when things go right. That placed effort is one of the more encouraging pieces of recent form in this field, even if the sample size is tiny.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Fizzy Bear is back racing just three days after finishing 17th at Newbury — an unusually quick turnaround that is the shortest gap between runs in this field. That Newbury effort, beaten over 12 lengths in last place, is a significant step backwards from a fifth-place finish on his debut. Running again so soon after a heavy defeat is an unusual move, and it is hard to find much optimism in the numbers here.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Runs again after just 3 days
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Sir Griflet is back just five days after finishing fifth at Newmarket — beaten 63 lengths, one of the heaviest defeats in this field's recent form. That followed another fifth at Southwell, also beaten far back. Racing again this quickly after such a heavy loss is a bold move, and the form figures offer very little encouragement at this stage.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Runs again after just 5 days
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Turret makes his debut today and is by Kingman — a stallion celebrated for producing quick, talented flat horses — out of a Galileo mare, which is about as blue-blooded a combination as you will find on a British racecourse. There is nothing from the track to assess, so breeding is genuinely all we have to go on. He is trained by Andrew Balding, a respected handler with a strong record of placing young horses to best effect.
Racecourse debut
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Exquisite Skye is the top-rated horse in this field — rated 3lbs clear of the average — and has a record of three third-place finishes from four races, so she consistently runs close to the pace even if the win has not come yet. She returns from a 139-day break and her most recent run was a concerning 10th at Lingfield, which sits awkwardly against her otherwise placed form. If that last run was a blip and she comes back to herself, her official rating and placed consistency make her the most interesting runner in the race on paper.
Top rated by 3lbs
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.