Epsom
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Betfred 'Play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Why this score
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 10 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Has had 51 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
TrackLab Insight
Dream Composer is the only horse in this field who has already won at Epsom over this exact course and distance, which is a meaningful edge in a race where track knowledge matters. He's rated 7lbs below the field average and returns from a six-month absence, but his last three runs before that break were poor. The Epsom form is real — he won here just over a year ago — but he needs to show he's still the same horse after that long layoff.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Why this score
- Results are getting better with each run. A horse on the way up has a good chance of a win soon.
- N. Callan has won 11.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The big question mark here is fitness — Desert Cop hasn't raced in over eight months, the longest absence of any horse in this field. His best form has come on slower, wetter ground, but today's dry conditions at Epsom are exactly the surface on which he's never managed a win. Coming back after such a long break, on ground that doesn't suit, makes this a tough ask even if the talent is clearly there.
Absent 241 days (longest in field)
Why this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- R. Ryan has won 15.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Ruby's Profit was beaten 10 lengths when finishing 14th at Bath just 16 days ago, which is hard to look past regardless of what came before. She's also never won on dry ground from four attempts. With no clear angle that makes her stand out in this 16-runner field, this looks like a race where she needs a big turnaround in form.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- J. Watson has won 12.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Equality's form record tells a very specific story: this horse loves good or good-to-soft ground, winning roughly 1 in 3 races on those conditions, but has never won on the faster, drier surface he faces today. At eight years old, he's also the joint-oldest horse in the field and arrives off a distant 10th at Southwell last time out. The conditions are simply working against him.
2nd highest rated (OR 90)
Why this score
- A. Watson has a good 13.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- H. Doyle has won 13.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Layla Liz has the best win rate in the entire field — three wins from just five races, meaning she wins roughly 1 in every 2 times she runs — but there's a significant unknown: she has never raced on dry ground before, having done all her racing on artificial surfaces at Wolverhampton. Hollie Doyle rides and the ability is clearly there, but stepping onto a fast turf track at Epsom for the first time is a genuine leap into the unknown.
Never raced on dry ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Why this score
- Wins 33% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- With an 11.9% win rate overall, D. Muscutt is one of the more dependable riders.
- Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
Moulin Booj has a genuinely good record on dry ground — winning 3 from 9 races on this type of surface — which puts him ahead of several rivals who've never won on it at all. However, his recent form is inconsistent: a win at Wolverhampton followed by an 11th and then a sixth. He tends to thrive on left-handed sharp tracks but has never won on that configuration, and Epsom presents a very different challenge.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
Why this score
- Has had 45 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- With a 13.6% win rate overall, M. Ghiani is one of the more dependable riders.
- R. Cowell wins only 4.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Seven career wins from 45 races shows Rhythm N Hooves is a genuine racehorse, but his recent form is a concern — six straight runs without a win, and four consecutive fourth or fifth places. More worryingly, he has never won on good ground in 10 attempts, and today's dry Epsom surface is exactly the conditions he's repeatedly failed on. Hard to get excited given the evidence.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
Why this score
- 6 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 11 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Spring Is Sprung has seven career wins and a 23% win rate, so the quality is not in question, but his recent form is a string of fourths and he has never won on right-handed sharp tracks — and Epsom, while unique, falls firmly outside the track profiles where he's been successful. The jockey-trainer combination also has zero wins from five rides together, which is a small but nagging flag.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
Why this score
- A 17% overall win rate for O. Murphy. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 10 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- R. Hughes wins only 6.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Nogo's Dream arrives as the lowest-rated horse in the field, 8lbs below average, and carrying the lightest weight — which gives him an advantage on paper in a handicap where weight matters. His best form has genuinely come on dry ground, winning 2 from 10 races on that surface, which is more relevant here than many rivals. Oisin Murphy takes the ride, and while a win would be a surprise, he's not without a shout if the weight advantage counts for something.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Why this score
- Has raced 9 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- R. Cowell wins 10.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 4.3% record at this course for R. Cowell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Michaela's Boy showed encouraging signs when winning and finishing second at Lingfield recently, but the ground is a major stumbling block — he has never won on dry conditions from nine attempts, and Epsom's fast turf track is as different from Lingfield's artificial surface as it gets. He also has a poor record on right-handed galloping tracks, and Epsom fits that profile. Lots working against him today.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Lexington Blitz is the only horse in this field with a proven record on today's dry ground conditions, winning 1 from 3 on this surface — a solid return compared to several rivals who have never won on it at all. He was a narrow third at Musselburgh just 17 days ago, so fitness isn't a concern. A course debut at Epsom is the remaining question, but he arrives in decent nick and with the ground in his favour.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Ziggy's Triton shares an important trait with Layla Liz — he has never raced on dry ground, meaning today's conditions at Epsom are completely uncharted territory for him. His recent form has been patchy too, with a ninth at Southwell last month sitting uneasily alongside his better efforts. An honest horse with 18 career wins and places from 22 races, but too many unknowns here to feel confident.
Never raced on dry ground
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Master Of My Fate is the form horse in this field — he won at Southwell just 12 days ago and has an outstanding 27% win rate overall, the best of any horse here with multiple wins. He's also proven at this trip, winning 7 from 26 races over five furlongs. The switch from Southwell's artificial track to dry turf at Epsom is new territory, but his all-round ability makes him one of the most compelling runners in the race.
Best record at this trip (7 from 26)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Betsen has only won 2 from 23 races — roughly 1 in every 12 outings — which makes him one of the least prolific winners in the field. His best form has come on artificial indoor tracks, and while he has shown some ability on good ground, there's no clear reason to single him out above stronger options here. A horse that needs things to fall right, and there's a lot of competition for that space today.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Dyonisos has zero wins from six career races but his form is genuinely improving — third at Meydan and then second at Newmarket just seven days ago shows he's running well right now. Like Layla Liz and Ziggy's Triton, he has never raced on dry ground before, so today is another unknown. He's back quickly after Newmarket, which suggests the yard feel he's in form, but a first win still feels like it could be one run away.
Never raced on dry ground
Runs again after just 7 days
Why this score
- Has won over this distance 3 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Three wins from 55 races is the lowest win rate of any horse in this field with multiple career victories — Existent wins roughly 1 in every 18 races. Crucially, all three of those wins have come on artificial surfaces, and he has never won on good ground from 18 attempts or on dry ground of any kind. The evidence firmly points away from him being a threat here.
Runs again after just 7 days
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.