Haydock
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Shape Engineering Handicap Stakes
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- An experienced horse with 56 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- A 26-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Charlie Mason brings six career wins and notably thrives on soft ground (22% win rate), which aligns well with today's very wet and muddy conditions. However, recent form is patchy (6-3-6), and he runs within 11 days of his last outing—quick turnover for a five-year-old.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Why this score
- With a 9.3% win rate overall, D. Hogan is one of the more dependable riders.
- With an average finish of 2.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- This is a 26-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Irish Nectar was a winner just 3 days ago at Leicester and shows excellent soft-ground form (33% win rate), matching today's very wet and muddy conditions perfectly. However, this is a lightning-quick turnaround and he has never run on very wet and muddy ground specifically—his soft-ground success may not guarantee success on the heaviest going.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Runs again after just 3 days
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- This is a 26-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Woolisle has one win in ten races (at Nottingham a year ago) and has been absent 130 days—the longest layoff in the field—before a recent 4th at Windsor. She shows 33% form on soft ground but only from 3 starts, and coming back after such a long break against this field represents a significant challenge.
Absent 130 days (longest in field)
Why this score
- Has raced here 3 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- S. Williams has won 11.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is a 26-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Adalida excels on good ground (20% win rate) but has never tackled very wet and muddy conditions—a significant unknown in a race where the surface will test every horse. Her recent form reads 5-3-5 and she's been off 18 days; at three years old on unfamiliar ground, she faces a real test of adaptability.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- Starting from stall 0 is good. In flat racing especially, where a horse starts can affect where it finishes.
- Today's race is over 5f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- 26 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Dragon Spin has won twice in 14 races and shows a strong record on good ground (40% win rate), but has never run on very wet and muddy turf and carries no relevant form for these conditions. A 31-day absence and three-year-old status add uncertainty.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- With a 14.3% win rate overall, J. Mitchell is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 0% record at this course for K. & Lauren Frost. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Harry's Halo has three straight top-3 finishes including a win 38 days ago, showing genuine recent form, and his record on soft and heavy ground (33% on heavy, 29% on good-to-soft) fits the very wet and muddy conditions. He is one of the few runners whose recent winning form aligns with track conditions.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- I. Jardine has won 10.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Starting from stall 0 is good. In flat racing especially, where a horse starts can affect where it finishes.
- 26 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Little Mi Mi has five wins in 27 races and is a Newcastle specialist (30% win rate), but has never raced on very wet and muddy ground. Recent form is poor (6-14-3), with a large defeat at York 40 days ago suggesting current form is below par.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- A 5f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- 26 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Managing Director has just one win in 11 races and has never run on very wet and muddy ground. His record on good ground is 0 wins from 3 starts, and recent form (4-11-2) shows he is picking up top-3 finishes but not winning races at this level.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- Has raced here 3 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- This is a 26-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Moonstone Boy has four wins in 33 races and shows a 33% win rate at sprint distances and 25% on heavy ground, which points to suitability for today's conditions. However, recent form is poor (6-4-8) and he has been 27 days without a race—there is no evidence he is ready to strike.
Among the more experienced (33 career races)
Why this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- L. Edmunds wins 10.4% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- This is a 26-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Smart Vision steps up two classes and shows excellent form on heavy ground (33% win rate, 1 from 3), which suits very wet and muddy conditions. He also boasts the best record at this sprint distance (3 wins from 7), but recent form (8-4-4) is inconsistent and he has won nothing since a Class 2 race in October.
Steps up 2 classes
Best record at this trip (3 from 7)
Why this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- J. Mitchell has won 14.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- K. & Lauren Frost has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Spoof stands out as the only runner with a superior record on very wet and muddy ground specifically (2 wins from 5 starts, 40%), which is the strongest ground-specific edge in the field. However, he is an 11-year-old and has not run since 33 days ago; recent form (5-10-8) shows he is well beaten at present.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A. Rawlinson has won 10.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- S. Hodgson wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Two And Two has one win in eight races (at Dundalk in January) and carries limited data; she is relatively inexperienced and has never raced on very wet and muddy ground. A 64-day absence before her most recent run and poor recent form (7-5) suggest she is not ready for this test.
Relatively inexperienced (8 career races)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- 26 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Vingegaard steps up two classes with two wins in 16 races and shows a 33% record on good ground, but today's very wet and muddy turf is a different test entirely. Recent form (4-6-14) shows he has not been competitive, and the ground change represents a significant unknown.
Steps up 2 classes
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
American Bay has won twice in 30 races but struggles on good or standard ground (0 wins from 19 combined starts), and has never raced on very wet and muddy turf. His last three outings show 7-9-7 finishes—recent form offers no encouragement.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Curious Rover steps up two classes and has never raced on very wet and muddy ground, but soft-ground form is solid at 29% (2 wins from 7). His last two runs show a sharp decline (21st at York, 10th at Redcar), raising questions about current readiness.
Steps up 2 classes
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Duran steps up two classes and has won four in 30 races with excellent form on good-to-firm ground (33% win rate), but the race is on very wet and muddy turf—a different test entirely. His last three runs (8-7-11) suggest he has not been competitive lately.
Steps up 2 classes
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Fordham Flyer has never won from five career races and has never tackled very wet and muddy ground. Recent form shows consecutive 9th-place finishes, and his only top-3 finish came nearly a year ago—he appears outclassed in this field.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
London Is Blue has never raced on very wet and muddy ground and his two wins have come exclusively at Brighton on good-to-firm turf (33% win rate). He is 45 days without a race and recent form is poor (5-2-10), making this ground a real question mark.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Jenny Jerome carries the field's lowest weight and rating, is ten pounds below average, and has never won from ten races or tackled very wet and muddy ground. She raced 2 days ago (just 3rd at Nottingham) and now faces a class step up—experience is minimal and recent form does not suggest a breakthrough.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Runs again after just 2 days
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
J Street has never raced on very wet and muddy ground and runs again after just 6 days, which is a tight turnaround. She does show a 25% win rate at sprint distances on good-to-firm ground, but there is no evidence she handles heavy, muddy turf.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Runs again after just 6 days
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Loleeta has two wins in 11 races and broke through at Brighton 45 days ago, but has never tackled very wet and muddy ground. Her most recent outing was a poor 7th at Wolverhampton, and the form trend does not suggest she is ready to step up in class or handle unfamiliar conditions.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Military Girl is the standout by win rate (26% across 19 races) and won at Catterick just 38 days ago, but her record centres on good-to-firm ground (40% win rate) and she struggles on right-handed sharp tracks—Haydock does not suit her. She has never raced on very wet and muddy ground.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Our Absent Friends is the field's most experienced at 65 races (9 wins) and has solid form on soft and good-to-soft ground (33% on both), fitting today's very wet and muddy surface. A 2nd place just 13 days ago shows recent competitiveness, though he struggles on good ground and this is a class step up.
Most experienced (65 runs, field avg 26)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Stirrup Cup has three wins in 27 races and shows a strong 38% record on soft ground, which aligns with today's very wet and muddy conditions. Recent form is consistent (3-4-6 at Ayr), and he runs within 8 days of his last outing—he appears live for this ground.
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Vince L'Amour has five wins in 47 races and boasts a strong 29% record on soft ground, which fits the very wet and muddy surface. However, recent form is weak (8-6-8 across his last three), and he has been 18 days without a race; his soft-ground edge is offset by poor current condition.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Why this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Wen Moon has four wins in 39 races and finished 3rd twice in his last three outings, showing recent consistency. His 30% record on soft ground matches today's very wet and muddy conditions, though he does have a 0 win record on heavy ground from 3 attempts—this is the slowest going he will have tackled.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races