Haydock
·
M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- This is a 31-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in the field at 92 and wins roughly 1 in 3 races, but a long 58-day layoff is concerning and he bombed when last seen at Kempton (9th, beaten 7.5L). The early promise of back-to-back wins has stalled.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated at 92 with a 27% win rate and three straight top-3 finishes including a win at Hamilton 18 days ago, but he's never raced on this ground. The lack of experience on mud is a genuine weakness for a horse otherwise in hot form.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- A 16.4% overall win rate for B. Loughnane. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- I. Williams has won 11.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 31-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Winless in 7 races despite carrying quality and showing 2 top-3 finishes, which suggests he's either meeting better horses or struggling to close out races. Never raced on this ground and no clear strength in his profile—a long shot.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on very wet and muddy ground and his last three runs are a concern: 11th at Doncaster (33 days ago) after promising form earlier in the year. At 3 years old with just 6 races under his belt, the uncertainty is high.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
A 3-year-old in brilliant form with 3 wins from his last 6 races, including a victory at Epsom just 19 days ago. Rated 90 and 60% effective at this trip, but he's never raced on very wet and muddy ground—a notable unknown for an otherwise talented runner.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- B. Toomey has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Top-3 finishes in 2 of her last 3 races is positive, but the 61-day layoff and 0 wins from 2 races with her jockey are concerns. Her record shows 2 wins from 12 races and no obvious edge on this ground.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on very wet and muddy ground and her form has collapsed since winning at Doncaster over a year ago—6th and 5th in her last two races. With just 1 win in 4 races and a long gap between runs, the outlook is dim.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The standout on paper: 2 wins from 5 races means a 40% win rate—highest in the field—and he's dropping in class from his usual level. However, the 66-day layoff and complete lack of experience on very wet and muddy ground are significant concerns.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- An experienced horse with 62 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- This is a 31-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
At 64 races, he's the most experienced runner and a course specialist with 2 wins from 4 at Haydock. The 19% overall win rate is solid, but recent form is poor (8-6-7) and his 0 wins from 8 on soft ground makes him a mismatch for today.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)
Most experienced (64 runs, field avg 22)
Why this score
- An 11.9% win rate at this course for R. Hannon. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- 31 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Excellent on fast ground but has never raced on the wet, muddy surface he'll face here—a significant unknown. His win rate of roughly 1 in 9 races and recent form (3-4-8) suggest he's struggling to find the frame consistently.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- This is a 31-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Course specialist with 2 wins from 5 at Haydock is useful, but he's running just 6 days after a 9th-place finish at York and carries a poor record on soft ground (0 wins from 3 starts). The rapid turnaround and ground mismatch are both concerns.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Runs again after just 6 days
Why this score
- T. Coyle & Kaine Wood has a good 33.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
A 7-year-old with 4 wins from 15 on soft ground and 1 from 4 on heavy—the conditions suit him. However, recent form is poor (6-7-8 beaten by distance) and he has no wins on right-handed tracks like Haydock (0 from 6), a structural weakness.
Among the more experienced (36 career races)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Relatively inexperienced at just 7 races but has won 2 of them—a 29% win rate—and took a race at Ayr 27 days ago. The form is promising for a young horse, though this will be a step up in class and he's untested on very wet ground.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
Why this score
- An 18.1% win rate at this course for P. Chapple-Hyam. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Has won over this distance 3 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- 31 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The standout here: he's won 2 of 4 races on heavy ground and is effective at this trip (3 from 7). After a 126-day absence, he's back and ran 4th here only 9 days ago, suggesting the conditions suit him perfectly.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
Best record at this trip (3 from 7)
Absent 126 days (longest in field)
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 2. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- A 31-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Has won 1 race in his last 5 attempts at lower grades and shows 3 straight top-3 finishes, suggesting decent current form. However, with just 2 wins from 11 races overall and no specific edge on heavy ground, he's a middling option.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has won 1 time at this course from 1 run. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
- 31 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
One of few course winners here with a victory at Haydock 41 days ago and an exceptional 67% win rate at this trip. The 3 straight top-3 finishes and 22% overall win rate suggest real ability, though he ran 7th when last seen.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Why this score
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- D. Carroll wins 8.8% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 7.2% record at this course for D. Carroll. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on very wet and muddy ground and his recent form is alarming (8-9-19 beaten over 30 lengths). With just 2 wins from 16 races and no soft-ground experience, he looks overmatched here.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old and has never raced on this ground, which is a serious problem. His record shows just 5 wins in 52 races, and he excels only on fast ground—the opposite of what he'll encounter here.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Has won 2 of 5 races at Redcar but is yet to prove himself elsewhere. Top-3 finishes in 2 of his last 3 races is encouraging, but his overall record (3 wins from 32) is weak and he has no obvious edge on this ground.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
A 3-year-old with 2 wins from 12 races and 7 additional top-3 finishes, showing decent consistency. Recent form includes a win at Chester (34 days ago) but no standout edge on heavy ground and he struggles on left-handed tracks (0 wins from 6).
No clear distinguishing angle in this field
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on this ground and is only 3 years old with just 1 win in 8 races. Recent form is poor (7-5-2 over three months) and she's weighted at exactly 130lbs—there's no edge here.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- An experienced horse with 61 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The heavy ground is his sweet spot: 2 wins from 4 starts and 3 wins from 15 on soft ground overall. Top-3 finishes in 2 of his last 3 races and an 8-year-old with 6 wins from 63 races, but he's yet to win at Haydock in 7 attempts—a notable blank.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Has a 50% win rate over 7f to 1m and 1 win in 3 on soft ground, making him potentially suited to today's conditions. Recent form shows top-3 finishes in 2 of his last 3 races, but his overall record is thin (2 wins from 17).
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Why this score
- A 25.5% win rate at this course for W. Haggas. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 19.7% overall win rate for W. Haggas. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 31 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 3-year-old with an excellent 38% win rate and 3 straight top-3 finishes including back-to-back wins, but he's never raced on very wet and muddy ground. Rated 81 and only 8 career races mean experience on mud is a genuine gap.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on very wet and muddy ground, which is a key concern. Her recent form is weak (7-6-3 over three months) and she has just 1 win in 8 races overall—there's nothing here to suggest a turnaround.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Dominates at Doncaster (3 wins from 4) but this is Haydock, and he's yet to win at this track in 7 attempts. The 41 career races make him one of the more experienced runners, but recent form is weak (5-10-8) and there's no edge on this ground.
Among the more experienced (41 career races)
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old with 5 wins from 31 races and a 29% win rate on soft ground, which suits today. Recent form is poor though (11th, 6th, 4th), and he's weighted at 129lbs—worth considering but not obvious.
Among the more experienced (31 career races)
Why this score
- Has had 53 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- Has won over this distance 8 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
TrackLab Insight
A 7-year-old with a rare 45% win rate on soft ground and 33% on heavy—exactly what today offers. He has won over this course and distance and shows 10 wins from 53 races overall, though recent form is patchy (7-2-3).
Has won over this course and distance
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on very wet and muddy ground and her form has fallen apart recently (6th beaten 40.8L). Only 1 win in 7 races and the gap between runs is long—there's no evidence to support a run here.
Never raced on very wet and muddy ground
Why this score
- An average finish of 1.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- With 55 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- J. & Sean Quinn has a 4.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
This is his profile: a horse that thrives in the mud with 5 wins from 12 starts on soft ground and 3 straight top-3 finishes including a win 8 days ago. The very wet conditions are exactly what he wants, though he's rated lowest in the weights at 75.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated runner at 75 and carries the lowest weight (122lbs), but that reflects genuine limitations: 3 wins from 18 races and poor recent form (7-4-2). No standout strength and weighted to reflect weakness rather than value.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field