Duran
Duran is a tough, honest 5-year-old who has won 4 of his 31 races and finished in the top 3 another 11 times — a solid if unspectacular record at the moderate levels where he competes. What makes him interesting is not raw statistics but how specific he has become about what he needs to succeed. He absolutely thrives on fast, dry ground, winning 3 of his last 9 races on such conditions — a 33% win rate that suggests he is genuinely different when the track suits him. On softer, stickier ground he visibly struggles to show his speed, which explains his trainer
Nigel Tinkler's frustration after a recent run at Haydock where the wet going prevented Duran from stretching out despite a respectable third-place finish.
Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
D Caslin P Wilcock M Cantillon
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
York is Duran's stronghold. He has won 2 of his 6 races there, which for a horse competing mostly in lower-grade contests is remarkable form at a single track. His partnership with jockey Faye McManoman is similarly impressive: she has ridden him to 4 wins from 20 races together, a 20% win rate that significantly outperforms his career average. His last victory came at Haydock Park in May 2025, and while he has not won in his last six runs, Tinkler clearly sees value in returning to York, where conditions and track suit him. For a horse of Duran's modest ceiling, finding these small edges — dry ground, familiar track, the right rider — is how you extract the most from an animal. He may never be a pattern-race performer, but at the right venue on the right day, he is very much a horse to take seriously.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 3 wins from 9 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Likes
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
4th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 14 runners
13 Sep
8th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
6 Sep
7th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
20 Aug
11th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
13 Jun
16th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
1 May
16th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
15 Apr
5th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
8 Nov
14th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 22 runners
25 Oct
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 13 runners
17 Oct
4th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| York Galloping |
6 |
2 wins, 4 other |
6 Sep |
33.3% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
5 |
1 win, 1 third, 3 other |
16 Oct |
20% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
4 |
2 seconds, 2 other |
13 Sep |
0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 1 third, 1 other |
13 Aug |
0% |
| Beverley Undulating |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
15 Apr |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
22 Jun |
0% |
| Chester Tight |
2 |
2 other |
26 Jul |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
20 Aug |
0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
1 May |
0% |
| Brighton Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
7 Jun |
100% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
29 Aug |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
29 Jun |
0% |