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Duran

There is something quietly impressive about a horse that wins half its races at one particular track. Duran has raced at York four times and won twice — a 50% win rate at one of the most competitive venues in British racing. That is not a coincidence. It suggests the track suits him down to the ground, and Nigel Tinkler's yard in North Yorkshire knows it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Invincible Spirit
Mother
Dolma
Owner
D Caslin, P Wilcock & M Cantillon
Rating
85

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
4
Wins
16%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The five-year-old has built a solid career record of 4 wins and 11 places from 25 races — winning roughly 1 in every 6, which is a respectable return at this level. He tends to compete in Class 4 races, which sit in the middle of the racing pyramid, and he has won just 1 of his 9 races at that grade. That might sound modest, but it tells you he is consistently competitive rather than dominant — the kind of horse that earns his keep by finishing in the money even when he does not win. His career earnings reflect that steady reliability.

The clearest pattern in Duran's profile is what happens when the sun comes out. On fast, dry ground he has won 3 of 8 races — 38%, or better than 1 in every 3. That is a dramatic improvement on his overall numbers. Tinkler has been candid about it: when Duran finished third at Haydock last weekend, the trainer put it down to ground that was too wet and sticky, saying it stopped the horse from stretching out properly. The plan, he confirmed, is to head to York — where Duran has that remarkable home-from-home record — in the coming days.

His most regular partner in the saddle is Faye McManoman, and their combination is worth noting. In 18 races together they have won 4 times — a win rate of 22%, or roughly 1 in every 4 and a half races. That comfortably outperforms his overall average and suggests the two have developed a real understanding. His last win came at Haydock Park in May 2025, and while he has not added to his tally in the six races since, he has placed in two of them, so the talent is still showing up.

With York on the horizon, dry ground in the forecast, and a jockey who knows him well, Duran is exactly the sort of horse that makes racing interesting — straightforward to follow, with a clear set of conditions under which he tends to deliver.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 3 wins from 8 starts (38%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Apr
5th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
8 Nov
14th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 22 runners
25 Oct
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 13 runners
17 Oct
4th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
27 Sep
3rd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
14 Sep
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 18 runners
29 Aug
4th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 14 runners
10 Aug
4th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
26 Jul
4th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
29 Jun
DNF
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 28 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Faye McManoman Current Jockey
22.2%
Win rate
4/18
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Alex Jary
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
4 2 wins, 2 other 31 May 50%
Haydock Park
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 17 Oct 25%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 13 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 8 Nov 0%
Chester
Tight
2 2 other 26 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 2 other 22 Jun 0%
Beverley
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 15 Apr 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 win 7 Jun 100%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Mar 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 30 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%