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American Bay

American Bay is a 5-year-old who has proved frustratingly difficult to get right, though his trainer Paul Midgley reckons there is more to come. Across 28 races, the horse has mustered just two wins and ten places—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 14 races—but that bleak record masks something more interesting: American Bay clearly has his day when conditions suit. On fast, dry ground, he has won 2 of his 8 races, a win rate of 1 in 4. Wet or muddy conditions seem to dull him entirely.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
New Bay
Mother
All I Need
Owner
Mike Taylor Partner
Rating
74

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
28
Career races
2
Wins
7.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The pattern in his recent form tells the story. He has not won in his last six races, his most recent outing just yesterday producing a seventh-place finish. Yet his trainer sees the glass as half full. Midgley, based at Westow in North Yorkshire where his yard has sent out 39 winners this season, believes American Bay will grow into a better horse with time. He has been all over the place with the horse—tried him over six furlongs early on, then found success over five furlongs at Thirsk, where he won on 17 June last year. Last week, American Bay ran well again at that same course and distance, coming second in a race where Midgley felt his horse would have won if his rival had not waited so long to make his move. The trainer's view is that another winter to strengthen and mature will raise American Bay's ceiling considerably. At Class 4 level—solid middle-ground racing—the horse has never won, going 0 from 13 races there, which suggests he may be better suited to easier races as he develops. David Nolan has ridden him five times without a win. The waiting game, it seems, is far from over.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 12 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Aug
7th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
1 Aug
5th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
11 Jul
13th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
20 Jun
2nd
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
31 May
7th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners
2 May
5th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
24 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners
9 Mar
3rd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard
9 Mar
3rd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
23 Sep
6th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Jason Hart Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Thirsk
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 3 other 1 Aug 20%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 24 Mar 0%
Newbury
Galloping
3 3 other 29 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 20 Jun 50%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 5 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 10 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 12 Oct 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 13 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 16 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 second 10 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Apr 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%