Irish Nectar

What makes Irish Nectar genuinely interesting is how he dominates on wet ground. He's won 3 of his 9 races on wet or muddy ground—a win rate of 1 in every 3—which is exactly where he thrives. Ask any trainer and they'll tell you horses like this, ones that love the mud, are gold in the British season. His recent form is mixed but not hopeless: he won at Haydock Park just this week on 16 October, and before that picked up a win in his last six races, along with two other top-3 finishes. He typically races in Class 3 company, where he's struggled a bit (1 win from 10 races), but the yard's jockey Shane Gray rides him regularly and has a decent record aboard, winning 2 of their 9 races together.

Herrington, based at Willoughton in Lincolnshire, has already sent out 33 winners this season and clearly has Irish Nectar marked down as one who should progress through those bigger sprint handicaps this year. The horse is actively racing and appears to be in form, so watch for him when the ground gets heavy—that's where his real value lies.