Grant Tuer

The partnership with jockey Oliver Stammers is the engine room of the yard's results. Twenty wins together from 175 rides at an 11% win rate — wins about 1 in every 9 times they team up — tells you this is a proper working relationship built on familiarity and trust. In racing, a jockey who knows your horses well is worth a great deal, and Stammers clearly understands what Tuer's runners need.

What is particularly interesting right now is Tuer's form over the past two weeks. Two winners from just 9 runners gives a 22% win rate in that period — double his season average. That kind of short-term spike often means a yard has its horses in good order, fit and ready to run their best. It is the sort of form that punters and fellow professionals notice.

Perhaps the most striking number in Tuer's record is what happens when the ground turns soft and the mud starts flying. Two wins from just 3 races on very wet, muddy ground works out at 67% — winning two out of every three times. That is a freakish number. Most trainers are happy to hit 10 or 15% in any given condition. To win at that rate in the worst of the weather suggests either genuine skill in preparing horses for testing ground, or that Tuer is exceptionally selective about when he runs them in those conditions — possibly both.

The one footnote worth adding is the record with Lightening Lad — three races together, no wins. That blank partnership stands out against an otherwise productive CV, and it is the small puzzle in an otherwise encouraging picture. Four years in, 172 career winners, a jockey he trusts, and horses that come alive in the mud: Tuer is a trainer whose name is worth knowing.