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Empirestateofmind

Empirestateofmind is a study in consistency rewarded. The eight-year-old has won 8 of his 56 races—a win rate of roughly 1 in 7—and has racked up 26 top-3 finishes, the kind of record that belongs to a solid, reliable handicapper rather than a spectacular talent. But there is something genuinely interesting buried in those numbers: on wet or muddy ground, this horse becomes a different proposition entirely, winning 5 of his 12 races (42%) on such conditions. That is the kind of edge that trainers John and Sean Quinn, based in Norton, North Yorkshire, have clearly learned to exploit.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Adore
Owner
Aire Valley Campers Ltd
Official rating
75

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
56
Career races
8
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The real story is Ayr, where Empirestateofmind has become a course specialist of note. He has won 3 of his 5 races there, including a victory just three weeks ago on 29 September. That kind of record at a single track suggests the place suits him—the track, the distances offered, something about the setup clicks. His most recent run, a Class 2 victory at York on 11 October 2024, came after a frustrating spell sidelined by injury. The joint-trainer noted that Empirestateofmind had injured a hock just as they were preparing him for bigger targets, and he came back needing racing to shake off the ring rust. He delivered that day, proving that beneath the moderate win rate lies a horse capable of winning decent races when the conditions and circumstances align.

Recent form tells the fuller story: 2 wins from his last 6 races, with top-3 finishes in 4 of those 6. That is the form of a horse in a purple patch, not one on the slide. Jockey Jason Hart, who rides him regularly, has partnered him to 4 wins from 27 races together (15%), suggesting good understanding between rider and horse. At eight years old, with a fresh low racing mark after his injury break, Empirestateofmind looks well positioned to do what the Quinn yard has always believed of him—win a nice handicap when the mud comes and the ground favours him. He raced just a day ago and remains active, a horse still capable of mixing it at the right level.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 5 wins from 12 starts (42%)
✔ Course specialist at Ayr: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Doncaster in 7 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Newcastle in 6 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Haydock Park in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Ok
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
3rd
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
8 Oct
2nd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
29 Sep
🏆 Won
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 8 runners
20 Sep
2nd
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 9 runners
18 Sep
🏆 Won
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 11 runners
6 Sep
15th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 19 runners
25 Jul
10th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · 14 runners
17 Jul
5th
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
19 Jun
9th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
4 Jun
9th
Wetherby
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Jason Hart Current jockey
14.8%
Win rate
4/27
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Jack Nicholls
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
7 1 second, 1 third, 5 other 28 Mar 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
6 3 seconds, 3 other 25 Jul 0%
Ayr
Galloping
5 3 wins, 2 seconds 8 Oct 60%
York
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 3 other 6 Sep 20%
Haydock Park
Galloping
5 2 thirds, 3 other 16 Oct 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 16 May 25%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
3 2 seconds, 1 third 20 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 28 Sep 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 17 Jul 50%
Ripon
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 16 Apr 50%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Aug 0%
Chester
Tight
2 1 second, 1 third 20 Sep 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 win 1 Oct 100%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jun 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Feb 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Nov 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 12 Dec 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Nov 0%