UK time :

Empire of Light

Empire of Light is a horse caught between his obvious talent and his inability to string together results. The 5-year-old has won 5 races from 27 outings — a 19 percent win rate that sits just above break-even — but his trainer Grant Tuer at Birkby in North Yorkshire reckons there is far more to come. Tuer sees a horse rated at 75 that should be a 85, talented enough to win multiple races in quick succession if everything aligns, yet stubborn enough to waste opportunities through eagerness and inconsistency.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodiac
Mother
Querulous
Trainer
Owner
The Weighting Game
Official rating
86

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
27
Career races
5
Wins
18.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His recent form tells the story: a win at Thirsk five months ago followed by a miserable run of results — 15th, 10th, 2nd, 9th, 7th — before last raced just a day ago. The pattern is familiar: flashes of genuine ability buried beneath stretches of disappointment. What stands out is where his ability does shine through. On fast, dry ground, he wins 2 out of every 5 races (40 percent) compared to his overall 19 percent win rate, and when racing at distances between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, he wins at 38 percent (3 wins from 8). At Haydock Park specifically, he has won twice from six races — a sign that certain tracks suit his running style. His first career win came at Newmarket in June 2023, and the post-race assessment from the yard was telling: the ground had been too firm for a big, heavy horse, and he thrived when rain softened things up.

The puzzle for Tuer is consistency. Empire of Light typically competes at Class 4 level, where he wins 1 in every 5 races, and despite having ridden him ten times, jockey Harrison Shaw has managed only a single victory aboard him. The trainer's recent comments suggest patience: with only a couple of runs so far this year, he feels Empire of Light is finally getting the right preparation. The plan is to build momentum starting at Haydock, a track where the horse has already proved himself. If Tuer can keep him sound, pick the right ground and distance, and harness some consistency, a horse rated this talented should be capable of winning several races back-to-back. For now, though, Empire of Light remains a talent with potential rather than a reliable winner.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 38% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 1 wins from 12 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
7th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
10 Oct
9th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
1 Oct
2nd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
6 Sep
10th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
13 Jun
15th
York
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 17 runners
16 May
🏆 Won
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
25 Apr
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
20 Sep
🏆 Won
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 9 runners
14 Sep
4th
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
4 Sep
5th
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
10%
Win rate
1/10
Wins / rides
Oliver Stammers Current jockey
60%
Win rate
3/5
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
6 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 16 Oct 33.3%
York
Galloping
4 4 other 10 Oct 0%
Redcar
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 7 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 16 Apr 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 26 Oct 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 win 16 May 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 win 20 Sep 100%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 second 1 Oct 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 9 Jun 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 31 Aug 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 15 Jul 0%