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Thunder Roar

Thunder Roar is a seven-year-old with a peculiar gift: he wins when conditions turn wet and muddy. He has won 5 of his 37 races overall—a modest win rate of roughly 1 in 7—but on soft, wet ground his record transforms. He has won 4 of his last 15 races on those conditions, a win rate of 27 percent, which is genuinely impressive. This is a horse that thrives when others struggle, and his trainer Kaine Wood knows it. After Thunder Roar's Class 2 victory at Ayr on 20 September 2025, Wood was explicit: "Thunder Roar absolutely loves soft ground so we were fairly confident. He's won here before and he loves it round here. You've just got to ride him with loads of confidence."Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Dominike
Owner
D F L Bishop Partner
Official rating
85

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
37
Career races
5
Wins
13.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Ayr is where Thunder Roar has truly made his mark. He has won 2 of his 4 races at the Scottish track, giving him a 50 percent win rate there—a remarkable degree of specialization. His first career win came at Ayr in July 2023, and his most recent victory, last September at the same venue, suggests the track brings out the best in him. That 13-month gap since his last win is a concern, however. In his last six races he has finished outside the top 3 each time, with finishes of 7th, 6th, 7th, 8th, 16th, and 11th. The horse is still active—he raced just a day ago—but finding his way back to the winner's enclosure has proved difficult.

Thunder Roar is trained by Tony Coyle and Kaine Wood at their Norton yard in North Yorkshire. He is most often ridden by Tom Eaves, though their partnership has yielded only 2 wins from 15 races together. At Class 2 level, where he typically competes, Thunder Roar has won just 1 of 10 races. The frustration is clear: here is a horse with genuine ability on his favored ground and track, but consistency has eluded him. He remains a horse for the wet forecast, not the reliable workhorse.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
7th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
28 Sep
6th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 13 runners
19 Sep
7th
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 14 runners
31 Aug
8th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 9 runners
5 Jun
16th
Epsom Downs
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
14 May
11th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 19 runners
28 Mar
15th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
7 Mar
7th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard
10 Oct
2nd
York
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
4 Oct
11th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Soft · 18 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
13.3%
Win rate
2/15
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
York
Galloping
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other 14 May 20%
Doncaster
Galloping
5 1 win, 3 seconds, 1 other 28 Mar 20%
Ayr
Galloping
4 2 wins, 2 other 19 Sep 50%
Ascot
Galloping
4 4 other 4 Oct 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 7 Feb 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 16 Oct 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 2 other 28 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 28 Oct 100%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 second 30 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 third 27 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 30 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 11 May 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Mar 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 31 Aug 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 9 Jun 0%