UK time :

Desperate Dan

Desperate Dan has picked up just three wins in 17 races, but there is a clear pattern emerging: this five-year-old runs best when conditions are grim and the ground is thick with mud. He has won 2 of his 6 races on wet or muddy ground—a 33% win rate—compared to just 1 win from his remaining 11 races elsewhere. That kind of ground specialist is genuinely useful to own, because wet days bring fewer runners and narrower fields, which suit a horse that knows how to handle the conditions.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Angel Grace
Owner
Mark Venus Peter Chapple Hyam
Official rating
84

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
17
Career races
3
Wins
17.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
2 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His partnership with jockey Neil Callan is the real story. When Callan rides him, the numbers jump dramatically: 3 wins from 6 races together, a 50% win rate that stands out against his overall 18% win rate. That kind of consistency with one rider suggests they understand each other. Desperate Dan also has a distance sweet spot—he performs best at around 1 mile 1 furlong to 1 mile 2 furlongs, winning 3 of his 10 races at that trip. At Class 4 level, where he typically races, he has won 2 of 6 outings, another encouraging sign that he belongs in that company.

His last win came at Doncaster just over a year ago, so there is a real gap in his form now. Recent races tell a mixed story: two finishes in the top 3 in his last six outings, but also three lower placings and a blank. Yesterday's race leaves him still searching for a return to the winners' circle, but on the right ground, with Callan in the saddle, and at his preferred distance, Desperate Dan has shown he can win. When all those elements line up, the mud-loving five-year-old can deliver.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 30% win rate
✔ Effective partnership with Neil Callan: 50% win rate together

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Oct
6th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
26 Sep
4th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 10 runners
12 Jun
6th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
28 Mar
9th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
25 Oct
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 14 runners
8 Oct
4th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
8 Sep
🏆 Won
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
25 Jul
6th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
3 May
13th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
26 Oct
6th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
3/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 8 Sep 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 28 Mar 50%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 8 Oct 50%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 3 May 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 16 Oct 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Jul 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jul 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Sep 0%