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Desperate Dan

There are horses that grind through their careers without ever finding a real identity, and then there are horses like Desperate Dan — who, once the rain starts falling, suddenly become very interesting indeed. The five-year-old has won 3 races from 15 overall, which works out at roughly 1 in every 5, a perfectly respectable return. But dig a little deeper and the picture sharpens: on wet, muddy ground, Desperate Dan has won 2 of just 4 races, a remarkable 50% record that tells you this horse is a completely different proposition when conditions turn against everyone else.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Angel Grace
Owner
Mark Venus & Peter Chapple-Hyam
Rating
86

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
3
Wins
20%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam at his Newmarket yard — a stable that has already sent out 7 winners this season — Desperate Dan has been a willing and consistent performer at Class 4 level, which is the solid middle ground of British racing. Two wins from 6 races at that grade, a rate of 1 in 3, shows a horse that belongs there and can be competitive. The partnership with jockey Neil Callan has been particularly productive: together they have won 3 of their 6 races, which means when Callan is in the saddle, Desperate Dan wins half the time. That kind of chemistry between horse and rider is genuinely rare and worth paying attention to.

The career has built nicely. A first win came at Nottingham in October 2024, and the most recent victory arrived at Doncaster in October 2025 — the horse last raced just yesterday, so is very much in the thick of an active campaign. Recent form of 6-9-1-4-1-6 shows a horse capable of both winning and disappointing, which is honest enough. The two wins sitting inside the last six races suggest the form is live, even if the most recent outing was a quieter day.

What makes Desperate Dan genuinely worth watching is simple: keep an eye on the weather forecast. A horse that wins half its races in heavy, testing conditions, trained by a yard firing on all cylinders and with a jockey it clearly clicks with, is the kind of horse a knowledgeable friend would quietly mention before a wet-weather card. It's not about brilliance — it's about conditions, timing, and a horse that knows exactly what it's good at.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on heavy ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Effective partnership with Neil Callan: 50% win rate together

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Jun
6th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
28 Mar
9th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
25 Oct
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 14 runners
8 Oct
4th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
8 Sep
🏆 Won
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
25 Jul
6th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
3 May
13th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
26 Oct
6th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 13 runners
14 Oct
2nd
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 14 runners
9 Oct
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
3/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 8 Sep 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 28 Mar 50%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 8 Oct 50%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 3 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jul 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Sep 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 12 Jun 0%