That consistency has been especially visible over the last six races, where Cavolo Nero has not finished lower than fourth — winning once, and placing in four of the other five. For a horse operating mostly at Class 4 level, the middle tier of British racing, that kind of reliability is exactly what you want to see. At that level, Cavolo Nero has won 1 from 5 races, a 20% win rate, which is respectable but hints that the horse has more to give if conditions fall right.
The most recent win came just this week at Great Yarmouth — which tells you this horse is in the form of its life right now. The career started at Southwell back in January 2025, and there has been steady, measured progress since. James Ferguson, the Newmarket trainer responsible for Cavolo Nero's development, has had a productive season with 22 winners already sent out from his yard — a strong sign that horses in his care are in good hands and racing fit.
Daniel Muscutt is the regular partner in the saddle, having ridden Cavolo Nero in 6 of its 12 races, winning once together — roughly 1 in every 6 rides. That is not a spectacular number, but the partnership is clearly an established one, and jockey-horse familiarity often matters more than the stats suggest. When a rider knows a horse's quirks and tendencies, they can place them better in a race and get that extra half-length when it counts.
At just four years old and with a win days ago, Cavolo Nero is a horse right in the middle of its story. The record of 3 wins and 8 places from 12 races — finishing in the money roughly 9 times out of every 10 starts — is the profile of a horse you want on your radar. It might not be heading for the biggest stages just yet, but for sheer dependability and current momentum, few horses at this level look more interesting right now.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell Galloping |
2 | 1 win, 1 second | 28 Feb | 50% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 31 Jul | 50% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
2 | 1 second, 1 other | 20 Jun | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 10 Jun | 100% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 4 Mar | 0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 25 Apr | 0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 8 Apr | 0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 5 Sep | 0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 | 1 third | 23 Sep | 0% |