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Southwell

·
AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap Stakes
Starts in
29h 51min
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 1 mile Standard all-weather surface Entry-level race 14 runners £3,716 prize money
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Dropping to an easier race Back after 96 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • H. Crouch wins 22% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 2 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 38% of runs)
Why this score
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
  • J. Butler has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Won 2 of last 5 Won here 2 times Likes this ground (wins 30% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • I. Jardine has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • C. Tuke wins 50% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • An average finish of 2 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • A 0% record at this course for G. Harris. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • There is £3,716 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • A 0% record at this course for O. Cole. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • A. Keatley wins 12.5% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • With an 11.1% win rate overall, O. Orr is one of the more dependable riders.
  • E. Bethell has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • A 0% record at this course for P. Morris. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • With an average finish of 2.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
  • J. Osborne wins only 4.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 194 days off Won 2 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 22 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Has had 49 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
  • A 0% record at this course for M. Dunne. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • J. Ryan has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • With £3,716 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
  • E. Bethell wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
More at Southwell tomorrow ?