Southwell
·
Handicap Stakes
Starts in
28h 51min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Fanshawe has a good 37.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
D. Costello has won 8.4% of their races in their career
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Costello has won 8.4% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 9.8% win rate overall, G. Wood is one of the more dependable riders.
- There is £3,716 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- J. Macey wins only 6.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 10 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- D. O'Meara has won 12.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 36 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- M. Herrington wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- There is £3,716 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- D. Horsford wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 10 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- F. Marsh has won 11.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- C. Hills has a 21.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 3 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- A 0% record at this course for J. Camacho. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
10
Bint Al Daar
£1 wins 10p · 9 Could surprise
D. Muscutt has won 11.9% of their races in their career
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Muscutt has won 11.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- K. & Lauren Frost has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 29 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A prize fund of £3,716 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- P. Morris has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.