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Southwell

·
Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Starts in
27h 49min
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 5 furlongs Standard all-weather surface Grassroots race 13 runners £3,140 prize money
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • C. Hobson has a 7.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 65 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • There is £3,140 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • S. Hodgson has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 8 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Has raced here 2 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • M. Attwater has won 6.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • There is £3,140 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • M. Attwater has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 154 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • A prize fund of £3,140 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • P. Charalambous & J. Clutterbuck wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
  • A 10.8% overall win rate for M. Appleby. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • M. Appleby wins only 5.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • A prize fund of £3,140 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • J. Ryan has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • D. Shaw has a 2.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
  • This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 15 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • A prize fund of £3,140 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • A 7.5% record at this course for S. Dixon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Has raced 27 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A prize fund of £3,140 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • A 7.5% record at this course for S. Dixon. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Back after 146 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • An official rating of 40 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 30 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
More at Southwell tomorrow ?