Southwell
·
Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Starts in
30h 53min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 14.3% record at this course for I. Williams. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 19.7% overall win rate for W. Haggas. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
£1 wins 10p · 13 Solid chance
M. Appleby has won 10.8% of their races in their career
13
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Appleby has won 10.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- With a 10.3% win rate overall, L. Morris is one of the more dependable riders.
- M. Appleby has a 5.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- D. Shaw wins only 2.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Dascombe wins 12.8% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- T. Dascombe wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
£1 wins 10p · 12 Solid chance
A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- J. R. Jenkins wins 7.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- C. Hardie has a 5.5% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- I. Mohammed & Jose Santos has a 3% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.40 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- F. Marsh wins 11.6% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.