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Southwell

·
Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Starts in
31h 53min
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 6 furlongs Standard all-weather surface Standard race 11 runners £4,972 prize money
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • A 5.9% record at this course for M. Loughnane. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
  • Last raced 17 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground Won at this distance 6 times
Why this score
  • J. Hart has a good 12.9% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • With 55 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
  • M. Herrington has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • D. Horsford has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 12 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • F. McSharry has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • Only 18th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • C. Lidster has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 5 times
Why this score
  • Has raced 11 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A prize fund of £4,972 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • J. Osborne has a 4.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • R. Beckett has a good 25% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Has run 2 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
  • 23 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • A 0% record at this course for T. Ward. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • W. Greatrex has a good 19.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • A 12.4% overall win rate for E. Greatrex. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • 11 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
More at Southwell tomorrow ?