Southwell
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AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Starts in
30h 23min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Boughey wins 16.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
£1 wins 11p · 13 Solid chance
K. R. Burke has won 12.2% of their races in their career
13
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. R. Burke has won 12.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 10.0% overall win rate for S. James. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Owen wins 23.2% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- H. Eustace wins 100% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- 105 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 12.6% record at this course for B. Ellison. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Ryan has won 11.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- K. Ryan wins 21.9% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- D. Muscutt has won 11.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Has had 33 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.