The clear top-rated horse in the field at 119, a full nine pounds clear of her nearest rival on the figures — in a race like this, that kind of advantage is significant. The editorial verdict selects her as the winner, pointing to her superior rating and solid recent form, which includes back-to-back wins at Epsom and Navan before a fourth-place finish at the Curragh last time. The market agrees, making her the favourite at 3.2, and on the numbers alone she is the one to beat.
Top rated by 9lbsMarket favourite (3.2)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"She has a good pedigree and is exciting. She ran very well in a hot maiden on her reappearance where she was just nabbed by a high-class filly. We're going to step her back into stakes company next, although we have to decide where. 22-04-26"
Has been in the top two in all four of her races and won her last two, including at Ascot just 30 days ago — she arrives in the best form of nearly any runner here. Rated 109, she is the second-highest-rated horse in the field and is dropping down in class from her usual level, which in theory gives her a head start over rivals stepping up. The main question is whether a horse who has only raced four times can handle the step up to a race of this size and quality.
Drops 3 classes from usual level3 straight top-3 finishes
Has finished in the top three in every single one of her four races, including a near-miss second at Ascot last time out — beaten just a fifth of a length — which shows she can compete at a high level. Rated 108, she sits respectably in this field and arrives with three consecutive top-three finishes behind her, making her one of the more consistent horses lining up today. The lack of a win at this level is the one gap in her record, but the consistency is hard to ignore.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on dry ground, which is a significant unknown given today's conditions — everything we know about her has come on softer surfaces. She was well beaten at Epsom last time (18 lengths back in sixth), and at a rating of 105 she is six pounds below the top-rated Inis Mor and a full 14 below favourite Thundering On. Ryan Moore is a top jockey but the ground question is real and hard to ignore.
Never raced on dry ground
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"She's a good filly, even though it took her a long time to win last year. She'd been second twice and fourth in a Group 3 before she got it done really well at Leopardstown, winning a mile maiden by seven lengths. Ryan rode her at the Curragh on Sunday and loved her. He thinks she'll get a mile and a half well. She's the type for an Oaks trial. 31-03-26"
Three races, three wins — an unbeaten record, but the same caveat applies as for Rebel Moon: we have almost no data to work with, and she has never once raced on dry ground. Rated 103, she is towards the lower end of this field, and while winning all your races sounds impressive, the quality of those races has not been tested at anything close to this level. A fascinating wildcard, but there are too many unknowns to see her as a genuine threat to the top-rated horses here.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (3 career races)3 straight top-3 finishes
The best career win rate in the field by some margin — three wins from five races — and she arrives having won at Goodwood 56 days ago, so the form is live. Rated 110, she is the third-highest-rated runner today and drops down in class from her usual level, which means this race is easier on paper than what she has already shown she can handle. The wild card is a heavy defeat at Newmarket (12th, beaten almost eight lengths) sandwiched between wins, which is hard to explain and worth keeping in mind.
Drops 3 classes from usual level3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Two races, two wins — a perfect record, but also the thinnest profile in this field; we simply do not know how good she is yet. She has never raced on dry ground, and stepping up to a Group 1 race after just two outings is a significant jump in both class and experience. Her odds drifting from 15.5 to 19.5 suggests the market has some reservations, and honestly those reservations are fair given how little we have to go on.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Like several rivals today, Cameo has never raced on dry ground, which adds a layer of uncertainty. She was well beaten at Epsom (18 lengths back in fifth) and only third at Naas last time, and at a rating of 102 she is the joint-lowest rated horse in the field. The odds of 70/1 reflect a horse with questions to answer rather than one expected to compete at the top of this race.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on dry ground, and the data flags a poor record on normal conditions — zero wins from three attempts — which is a real concern given today's dry surface. She has been beaten nine and a half lengths at Epsom and over five at Chester in her last two, and while she has a previous win at the Curragh, her odds drifting from 29/1 to 48/1 suggests punters are not overlooking these concerns.
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, which counts for something at a track like the Curragh, but her recent form tells a different story — sixth last time out here, beaten over six lengths, and a string of mid-field finishes before that. Rated 104, she sits well below the leading fancies on the figures, and at 48/1 the market is not convinced a turnaround is coming.
The editorial verdict calls her the second-closest danger to the favourite on the figures, yet she has not won in her last six races and arrives rated 101 — the lowest in the field alongside Cameo and Sparan Nua. She is a Curragh specialist with two wins here from five attempts, which is a genuine asset, but blinkers are on today suggesting the team feel she needs an extra nudge to find her best.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.