Curragh

A first-time runner with no form to assess, but the jockey-trainer pairing of Colin Keane and G M Lyons is one of the most potent in Irish racing — they win together roughly 1 in 5 races. She is by Pinatubo, one of the highest-rated two-year-olds seen in Europe in recent years, which hints at real quality in the bloodline. Debutantes from powerful yards with top riders often arrive ready to perform, and this one fits that profile.

The most experienced horse in the field with four races under her belt, and she has finished in the top three in three of them — a level of consistency none of her rivals can match. She was beaten by just half a length at Killarney five days ago, so she arrives here in the form of her life and racing quickly while that momentum is fresh. The only worry is that none of those runs have come on dry ground, making today's conditions an untested variable for a horse who otherwise looks the one they all have to beat.

She was beaten by just a fifth of a length last time out at Limerick — as close as you can get without winning — and that near-miss is the most compelling recent piece of form in this field. She holds the highest official rating here at 78, suggesting she is at least on a par with, or better than, the others who carry ratings. The question is whether she can convert that near-miss into a win on ground she has never raced on before.

Ridden by Ryan Moore, who wins roughly 1 in 3 races with this trainer — that is one of the strongest jockey-trainer combinations in the sport — but the horse's own form is patchy at best, with a best finish of third from three races. Her most recent run was a well-beaten seventh, which is the wrong direction of travel heading into this. The pedigree of the partnership demands respect, but the form makes it hard to be confident.