Earth Shot

The real standout is Earth Shot's form at the sweet spot of 1m3f to 1m4f, the kind of middle-distance race where a horse with a bit of stamina can really express itself. Over that trip, the horse has won two of three races—a 67% win rate that is genuinely impressive and suggests William Haggas has found the horse's ideal distance. The trainer, based at Newmarket, has sent out 170 winners this season, so Earth Shot is racing in a yard that knows what it's doing with good horses.

The recent form tells a story of a horse still finding its feet. Last raced just a day ago, Earth Shot is clearly still active and in work. Looking back across the last six races, there's a fourth-place finish alongside two wins and three placed efforts. That fourth came most recently, but before that the horse had won at Ascot two months prior. It is not a scorching run of form, but it shows a horse that turns up and competes, mixing wins with consistent placings rather than disappearing into also-ran territory. For a 3-year-old still learning the ropes at top tracks, that is a solid foundation—and if Haggas can get it back to those ideal middle distances where it has shown real teeth, there could be more to come.