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La Fogata

There is something quietly promising about a 3-year-old who is still finding their feet, and La Fogata fits that description well. One win and two places from seven races is a modest return on paper — roughly 1 in every 7 races ends in victory — but the picture is more nuanced than that bare number suggests.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Cimeara
Owner
Medallion,Kisber,Trommer,Fowler,McNulty
Rating
100

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
7
Career races
1
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Curragh
About 1.5 miles · Mostly firm ground · 11 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That single win came at Punchestown in September 2025, and it arrived at a distance that seems to suit La Fogata best: somewhere between a mile and a mile and a quarter. Over that range, she has won 1 from 4 races, a 25% win rate that tells a more encouraging story than the overall career figures. Some horses simply need to find their trip, and the evidence here points fairly clearly in one direction.

The recent form string — 5-4-2-8-1-4 reading from most recent back — shows a horse that has been competitive without consistently threatening the front. The run of eighth is the one blip, but the second-place finish since then suggests that was a hiccup rather than a trend. Racing just one day ago, La Fogata is clearly in an active campaign, and Donnacha Aidan O'Brien's yard at Ballyroe has been in fine form this season with 33 winners — a useful sign that horses leaving that operation are fit and ready.

At three years old, there is still time for the profile to sharpen. The key question is whether the yard — the yard — can keep finding races at that preferred distance and on suitable ground. The Punchestown win shows the ability is there. The task now is proving it wasn't a one-off.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 Jun
5th
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
7 Jun
4th
Navan
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
9 May
2nd
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
21 Oct
8th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 8 runners
16 Sep
🏆 Won
Punchestown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
30 Aug
4th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
10 Jul
4th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 21 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 24 Jun 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Sep 100%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jul 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Jun 0%