Curragh

The market favourite with the fewest races under her belt — just three — Vanir arrives on the back of a win at Fairyhouse and is clearly held in high regard, but there's a big unknown here: she has never raced on dry ground, and today's conditions are a first. She's the one to beat on current form, but that question mark over the fast surface makes her a risk at the price.

Our selection for the race, and it's easy to see why — three straight top-three finishes including a win two races ago paint the picture of a horse moving in the right direction. The one genuine concern shared with most of this field is that she has never raced on dry ground, so today's conditions are uncharted territory.

Perfectly consistent without ever winning — three races, three places — Noble Honour is the kind of horse that always shows up but hasn't yet found a way to get to the front. Rated 8lbs below Genchev at the top of the field and also unproven on dry ground, she looks more likely to fill a place than take the prize.

No wins and no places from three races, with finishes of sixth and seventh bookending a gap in the record — this is the thinnest profile in the field. Wearing blinkers for the first time may sharpen things up, but facing better-credentialed rivals on ground he's never raced on makes this a tough ask.