Curragh
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Tulfarris Hotel And Golf Resort Sapphire Stakes (Group 2)
Starts in
2h 10min
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.1 and shortening, and she backs that up with the best record on today's dry ground in the entire field — three wins from six races in these conditions, or 50%. She's also the only runner whose price has shortened heading into the race, suggesting confident money is coming in. A fourth-place finish at Ascot last time out is the only mild concern, but this horse clearly loves fast ground and the market is saying so loudly.
Best record on this ground (3 from 5)
Market favourite (4.1)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"She performed much better in the second half of last year and we toyed with the idea of the Al Quoz Sprint in Dubai but decided to be patient. It was no surprise when she won a Group 3 in August and she's going to work back from midsummer targets. We'd love to get her to Royal Ascot and I'd imagine she'll start in a Listed race. 02-04-26"
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Joint top-rated alongside Jakajaro at 110, and she's the second choice in the market at 4.8 and shortening — the editorial tip has her heading the danger list for good reason. She wins roughly 1 in every 2 races she's entered, a better win rate than any other fancied runner here, and her form figures show consistent top-two finishes. The one open question is whether she can replicate her best after a fourth at Ascot last time, but she arrives fresh and confident money is backing her.
2nd in the market (4.8)
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TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 26 races under his belt, and he comes in as one of only two runners rated above the field average at +3, but his last run was a 13th-place finish at Ascot which is hard to ignore. His record on dry ground is a concern — just one win from nine races in those conditions, which is precisely what he faces today. There are more compelling options in this field.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
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TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection and joint top-rated alongside Havana Anna at 110, making him the highest-rated horse in the field by five pounds over the average. He's the most seasoned runner here with 31 races to his name — nearly double the field average — and his two wins in the last six races suggest he's in decent nick. The one honest concern is that he has never won on dry ground in five attempts, which is precisely what he faces today.
Most experienced (31 runs, field avg 16)
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"His win at York last week was really good. He won decisively and certainly merits going up in class now, as he did that very well. He's entered in the King Charles III but will probably go next to the Temple Stakes on Saturday as long as the ground is good or softer. We'll see about Royal Ascot after that. He's moving in the right direction, which is really positive. The race he won at York was won last year by American Affair, who went on to win the King Charles III. There will be options but I think he is slightly more ground-dependent, in that it's got to be good or slower for him. It's 11 years since we won the King Charles III (or the King's Stand as it was then), and it would be great to win it again if we could. 20-05-26"
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the entire field — four wins from just seven races, meaning he wins more than half the time he races — and he has the best record at today's five-furlong trip too, winning two from three at this distance. The problem is a 16th-place collapse at Ascot last time, which is impossible to paper over ahead of a Group 2. If that Royal Ascot run was a blip rather than a trend, Ryan Moore is the man to find out.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He won three times in the first half of last year, including the Norfolk Stakes, but missed the rest of the season. He'll go down the three-year-old sprinting route on the way back to Royal Ascot for the Commonwealth Cup and he could be a very good sprinter. He's just a pure sprinter; big, powerful and strong, a big block of a horse. We're very happy with him. 31-03-26"
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TrackLab Insight
The standout course expert in this field — four wins from eight races at the Curragh makes this the track he calls home, and no other runner here matches that record. The catch is that today's dry ground is entirely new territory for him; every single one of those course wins came on softer conditions. Recent form has been modest too, so he needs to prove he can handle fast ground before punters get too excited.
Course specialist (4 wins from 8 here)
Never raced on dry ground
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TrackLab Insight
He's been remarkably consistent lately with three straight top-three finishes including a win at York, but his odds have drifted badly from 11-1 out to 20-1 which suggests the market isn't convinced he can step up to Group 2 company — and he drops two class levels to get here, so that's the right question to ask. His record on dry ground reads zero wins from three races, which is a red flag for today's conditions. Hard to fancy at this level.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
3 straight top-3 finishes
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TrackLab Insight
She's a course specialist with two wins from four races at the Curragh, so she knows this track, but she arrives rated 12 pounds below the field average — the biggest gap of any runner here — which tells its own story about the class jump she faces. A sixth-place finish at Ascot 29 days ago on a similar stage doesn't inspire confidence. At 34-1, the market has made its view clear.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)
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TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of runners with a previous win at the Curragh, which counts for something at a track where knowing the layout matters. However, his recent form is alarming — a 19th-place finish at Ascot just 29 days ago, and no wins in his last six races. On dry ground he has zero wins from four attempts, so the conditions don't help his cause either.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
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TrackLab Insight
Arrives here dropping two class levels from his usual company, which on paper makes this a more manageable task, and he's won three of his last 19 races with a string of consistent top-three finishes recently including a win at Cork 34 days ago. The odds of 29-1 reflect the class jump up to Group 2 level, which is a significant ask. His record on dry ground is also blank — no wins from three attempts — and that combination makes him a long shot here.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
3 straight top-3 finishes
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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