The headline number this season is 15 winners from 312 races, which works out at roughly 1 in every 21 — a 5% win rate that tells you he is riding plenty but converting less often than he would like. That is a slight step back from last year, when he was winning at 7%, so there is work to do. But zoom in on the last two weeks and the picture looks considerably brighter: 2 winners from 14 rides, a 14% win rate that is almost three times his seasonal average. That kind of short-term form can be the thing that gets a jockey noticed by new yards.
His most productive relationship is with trainer Michael Dods, for whom he has ridden 4 winners from 60 races together — roughly 1 in every 15, a 7% win rate that edges above his overall average and suggests Dods trusts him with enough runners to make the partnership worth watching. More eye-catching still is his record on the horse Krissy: 3 wins from just 6 races together, meaning they have won half the time they have lined up. That is the kind of statistic that turns a jockey-and-horse pairing into something to follow.
There are also two conditions where Elliott visibly raises his game. On normal ground he has won 8 from 100 races, an 8% win rate, noticeably better than his overall figures suggest. And at Ripon in North Yorkshire, he has landed 3 winners from just 11 runners — winning more than 1 in every 4 times out. For a jockey at his stage of development, having a track where things click like that is genuinely valuable. Courses can suit riding styles in ways that are hard to explain but easy to see in the numbers.
At 36 career winners in two years, Elliott is building steadily rather than setting the world alight. But the Ripon record, the recent upturn in form, and that partnership with Krissy all point to a rider who is developing the kind of specific strengths that a career gets built on.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 80 | 1 | 1.2% |
| Ayr | 40 | 2 | 5% |
| Musselburgh | 33 | 3 | 9.1% |
| Hamilton Park | 32 | 1 | 3.1% |
| Redcar | 22 | 2 | 9.1% |
| Thirsk | 21 | 0 | 0% |
| Carlisle | 16 | 1 | 6.2% |
| Ripon | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Beverley | 10 | 0 | 0% |
| Catterick Bridge | 9 | 0 | 0% |
| Southwell | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Wolverhampton | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Doncaster | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| York | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Ffos Las | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Pontefract | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Wetherby | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Windsor | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| Kempton Park | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| chelmsford | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Haydock Park | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| The Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% |