Curragh
·
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Starts in
19h 42min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 12.6% overall win rate for C. Byrnes. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- C. Byrnes has a 3.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 11/2 off the back of two narrow seconds, but his 3% win rate from 34 races tells the real story—he's a horse that finishes close without delivering. He's 0 from 3 on heavy ground and 0 from 11 on good ground, leaving very little in between; today's wet surface sits in his blind spot.
Market favourite (11/2)
£1 wins £8.50 · 7 Could surprise
A low win rate on this ground from 9 previous runs
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 9 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A. McGuinness has won 8.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 4.5% record at this course for A. McGuinness. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A genuine plodder with just 1 win from 60 races and 0 wins across all ground types except heavy—yet somehow gets turned out five days after finishing 5th here. The jockey-trainer combo is well-established, but his record on this course and in recent weeks suggests he's running out of time and ideas.
Runs again after just 5 days
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Rated 67 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- C. Murphy wins only 5.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Runs just two days after an 11th at Leopardstown and has the best record at this trip (2 wins from 3 races), suggesting she suits 1m on turf. However, her recent form has dipped sharply and she's never been tested on wet ground; the jockey-trainer combo is 0 from 3, so early promise here may not translate.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Runs again after just 2 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- With a 7.5% win rate overall, A. Slattery is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 24-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at 20% (1 in 5 races) and won twice in her last six, but a 13th here 23 days ago and zero experience on wet ground are significant obstacles. Her lack of racing on today's conditions is the critical unknown—horses that have never tried soft turf often struggle badly when they finally do.
Never raced on wet ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- D. Marnane wins 8.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- D. Marnane wins only 3.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Killarney just 15 days ago but has never raced on wet ground, and her record suggests she prefers firmer conditions (0 from 7 on good). Her fitness from that recent win could help, but the sharp reversal to soft turf and unfamiliar conditions make this a significant gamble on today's evidence.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 1.7. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- K. Thomas Coleman has a 2.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 7 races but has picked up 3 top-3 finishes and shows promise in top-3 finishes in recent weeks. Still searching for a breakthrough, he's unproven on wet ground and will need to overcome that gap; his 10/1 odds suggest some market interest, but experience and a maiden record remain significant hurdles.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 14 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- An experienced horse with 64 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- This is a 24-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field (64 races) with a course win at The Curragh, but he's 0 from 10 on heavy ground and hasn't won in nearly two years. Running again just 5 days after an 8th here suggests the trainer is fishing; his tight-track struggles and age (10) work against him on a day like this.
Has won over this course and distance
Most experienced (64 runs, field avg 22)
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 9 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A 6.7% overall win rate for L. Roche. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- P. W Flynn has a 2.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Decent win rate (10% from 63 races) and he ran just 2 days ago after a 2nd at Killarney, but that was followed by a 15th at Leopardstown yesterday—wild form swings that suggest instability. He's 0 from 10 on soft ground and 0 from 5 at The Curragh, making today's wet conditions and venue a double negative.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 2 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- S. Foley has a good 9.0% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- A 24-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 16 races with just 1 top-3 finish overall, yet the standout claims top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races. That claim is contradicted by his form line (7-10-5), and he hasn't raced in 45 days—too long away before a return to a course where he's 0 from 5.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 25% win rate from 4 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- L. McAteer wins only 4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Galway 42 days ago and boasts the standout angle of best record on heavy ground (1 win from 5 starts, 20%), paired with a strong record on soft (1 from 4, 25%). This is genuine form evidence for today's conditions, though his win rate overall is modest (6%) and he's favoured at a longer absence than ideal.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 47 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A. King has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Ran just 5 days ago finishing 6th and carries a respectable record on soft and yielding ground (1 win each from 6 and 5 starts). Her experience and ground aptitude are pluses, but 3 wins from 47 races is a thin record and she's 0 from 7 at Galway, suggesting she struggles at certain tracks.
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- The official rating is 12.8 points higher than the average for this race. The official rater sees this horse as one of the better runners today.
- A 0% record at this course for C. David Maxwell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field and has a strong record at 1m1f–1m2f (33% win rate), having just won at Thurles 12 days ago. However, he's never raced on wet ground, 0 from 4 on good and 0 from 4 on standard—the soft conditions here are uncharted territory and represent a significant risk.
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has run 8 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
- 24 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Seven-year-old mare with just 2 wins from 25 races and no wet-ground experience, winless for 14 months. She's 0 from 8 at The Curragh and hasn't run in 45 days; her modest record and long absence make a return to the track here an unlikely success story.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 10 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Has won over this distance 2 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- A 24-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Won here over this distance and thrives on heavy ground (25% win rate), but the data cuts both ways: he's 0 from 14 on soft or softer surfaces and hasn't won since early 2025. The drifting odds (22/1) reflect genuine doubt, and at 7 years old with just 2 wins from 30 races, he needs everything to go right.
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has won over this distance 3 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- A 3.4% record at this course for G. O'Leary. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes is the standout, though the most recent was 109 days ago and he's 0 from 4 on soft ground. His 11% career win rate and strong record at 1m1f–1m2f (18%) hint at quality, but the long absence and poor record on today's conditions are real concerns.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 10.2% overall win rate for W. J. Lee. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 4.5% record at this course for A. Oliver. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Relatively inexperienced with just 7 career races, and while she shows an excellent record at 1m3f–1m4f (33%), this race is only 1m. Her most recent three outings have been disappointing, and she's 0 from 3 on standard ground—the softer conditions here are untested territory.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- A 24-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Unfancied at 28/1 despite carrying a high rating, and for good reason: 0 wins from 5 races with a recent 11th at Galway (his only run in 85 days). The long layoff, no racecourse experience on wet ground, and winless record suggest he's been raised above his level and is unlikely to break through here.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An official rating of 64 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- 24 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
0 wins and 0 top-3 finishes from 4 races with no experience on wet ground, running back just 5 days after a 13th at this course. The limited data and lack of any top-3 finish make him impossible to fancy, and the quick turnaround after such a poor run raises questions about readiness.
Never raced on wet ground
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- G. F. Carroll has won 8.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- G. O'Leary has a 3.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Recent form has collapsed badly—11th, 11th, and 12th in her last three outings—after showing promise earlier. Her single career win came in July 2025; the 3 straight top-3 finishes in her standouts refer to old form (13+ races ago), making this marker misleading in context of where she is now.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has run 8 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- 24 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 10 races with just 1 top-3 finish ever, yet she's mentioned as having top-3 finishes in 2 of the last 3 races. The most recent was a 16th at Curragh just 16 days ago, blown apart by 99.5 lengths—a catastrophic run that suggests she's struggling badly and remains a long shot.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- With a 7.8% win rate overall, J. M. Sheridan is one of the more dependable riders.
- C. Weld wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Has won on heavy ground (17% win rate from 6 starts) and fits the distance profile, but he's 0 from 5 at The Curragh and just finished 17th here 5 days ago. The quick turnaround after such a poor run, combined with his minimal win rate overall (1 from 20), makes this a tough ask.
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 7.2% win rate overall, D. O'Connor is one of the more dependable riders.
- An average finish of 3.3 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- Miss H. McLoughlin wins only 5.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Absent for 132 days—longest in the field—and has never raced on wet ground, yet she's been clocked at 16/1 despite showing ability over this distance (20% win rate at 1m1f–1m2f). The lengthy absence and untested conditions in heavy ground are too much for a horse with just 1 win from 10 career races.
Never raced on wet ground
Absent 132 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 7 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- Mrs M. Whelehan has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field, 16lbs below average, and winless from 15 races with just 1 top-3 finish. She ran 2nd at Roscommon 8 days ago but that was likely weaker company; 0 from 7 at The Curragh and no evidence of form makes her a difficult case to construct.
Lowest rated, 16lbs below average
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Ryan wins 6.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- C. David Maxwell has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 4 races with 0 top-3 finishes and never tested on wet ground; she just finished 12th at Gowran Park yesterday. At 100/1 odds, she's rightly considered a 100-to-1 shot—there is no evidence she can compete at this level, especially on conditions she's never encountered.
Never raced on wet ground