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Tomorrow 30 Results 47

Curragh

·
Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap
Starts in
16h 52min
Flat race · weights set to make it fair Underrated horse: Ballintogher About 6 furlongs Soft, spongy ground 17 runners £12,600 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
  • D. McLoughlin has a 6.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through for a debut win at Navan 13 days ago, but she has never raced on wet ground and this is a significant step up in class from her previous form. At just four races into her career, her win rate of 25% is eye-catching but built on limited evidence—the wet ground here is uncharted territory.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Mrs J. Harrington wins 10.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Finished in the top 3 in two of her last three races and is clearly competitive at this level, but the 21-day absence and recent fifth-place finish at Cork suggest momentum has stalled. She won once in five races and has not broken through since mid-June despite showing promise.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won here 3 times Likes this ground (wins 30% of runs)
Why this score
  • A 13.8% overall win rate for D. Browne McMonagle. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • T. Coyle has a good 12.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • A 3.2% career win rate for T. Coyle. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
He is one of just two course winners in this field with three victories at the Curragh, and he boasts a 30% win rate on soft ground (3 from 10)—the standout wet-ground record here. His last outing was a third-place finish at Galway 42 days ago, and while the absence is a concern, his form and ground profile make him a genuine player in these conditions.
One of few course winners (3 wins here)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back quickly after its last run Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • Raced just 2 days ago. Running again quickly can show the trainer is happy with the horse, but tiredness is a risk.
  • A 0% record at this course for C. Weld. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 13/2, she was backed to win based on her form at Navan (3 wins from 4 there, 75% win rate) but she has yet to win at the Curragh in 15 attempts and has never won on soft ground in three tries. Running again after just two days following a 14th-place finish at Leopardstown raises serious questions about her ability to bounce back here.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average Runs again after just 2 days Market favourite (13/2)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • Has an official rating of 78. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • J. M Barcoe wins only 3.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Soft ground specialist with two wins from six races in these conditions, and he won at this track just 16 days ago before finishing fifth here five days later—now he's back at the Curragh in wet ground that suits him. The concern is the quick turnaround: running after just five days is punishing, and this jockey-trainer pairing has yet to find a winner together from five attempts.
Best record on this ground (2 from 6) Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 7.8% overall win rate for J. M. Sheridan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • J. James Feane has a 6.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
He is one of just two course winners in this field with a victory here, and he won at the Curragh despite a 10% career win rate across 10 races. The sticky form line—fourth at Naas 10 days ago, then seventh and tenth in the races before that—suggests he is treading water rather than building momentum.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 335 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • An 8.0% overall win rate for L. McAteer. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A 7.5% record at this course for P. J. F. Murphy. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
He has been absent for 335 days—longer than any other runner in the field—and arrives back after four months away from racing. When last seen at Dundalk 335 days ago, he won, but that form is ancient history and horses rarely return to winning form after such extended breaks.
Absent 335 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • A 9.1% overall win rate for W. McCreery. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
She won once from five career races but has not won in 17 months since that breakthrough at Fairyhouse, and her last two outings—13th at the Curragh 116 days ago and 6th at Roscommon eight days ago—show she is struggling. Limited experience (5 races) and zero wins from soft ground are both red flags.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • T. G. McCourt has won 4.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • T. G. McCourt wins only 3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
She has won just once from 11 races and shows a pattern of running into the placings but rarely getting over the line: 4th at Dundalk 18 days ago, 5th at Cork, and 2nd at Dundalk before that. At a 9% win rate, she is struggling to break through at this level.
Mid-range in the market (11/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Has had 61 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
  • A. McGuinness has a 4.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
He is the most experienced runner in the field at 60 races but also the most burdened: running for the second time in 11 days after two ninth-place finishes, and he has never won on soft or yielding ground despite a 10% career win rate. His low weight and experience are offset by a form line that screams fatigue.
Carries lowest weight in field Most experienced (60 runs, field avg 17) Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing tongue strap Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • Has won over this distance 2 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • An official rating of 74 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • A. McGuinness wins only 4.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
This eight-year-old is running for the second time in five days after finishing ninth at the Curragh just 120 hours ago, and he has not won in 15 months despite 31 career races. The back-to-back rapid races and the extended drought suggest he is a horse going through the motions rather than one with genuine winning chances.
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
  • Wins 33% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
His debut win at Navan a year ago now feels like a false dawn, as he has managed only two placings from five subsequent races and finished seventh at the Curragh 16 days ago. At 16/1, he is priced as an outsider, and his recent form suggests that is a fair reflection of his chances.
Outsider at 16/1
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
  • G. O'Leary wins only 3.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
This nine-year-old has one significant advantage: he has won on heavy ground (1 from 5) and wins roughly 1 in 8 races, putting him in rare company here for wet-ground form. But his last outing was a 13th-place finish at the Curragh 16 days ago, and he has zero wins from soft or yielding ground across his career.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 111 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • 2 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
  • An official rating of 76 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • T. Mullins wins only 3.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
She boasts the best win rate in the field at 23% (3 from 13), but she has never raced on wet ground and has been absent for 111 days—far longer than most rivals. The 33/1 odds reflect both her inexperience in these conditions and the length of her absence, despite a career record that marks her out as genuinely talented on her day.
Never raced on wet ground Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • An official rating of 75 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • G. O'Leary has a 3.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
After nine races, this four-year-old remains winless and has yet to show a breakthrough moment—just one place finish to his name. He finished eighth at the Curragh 16 days ago and before that was 5th at Listowel and 5th at Laytown, suggesting he is operating well below the level needed to trouble this field.
Mid-range in the market (16/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • B. Coen has won 9.7% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
He has an excellent record on yielding ground (2 wins from 4 starts at 50%) but has never won on soft ground in five attempts, and he has not won at the Curragh in five tries. Recent form has been poor—13th at Roscommon, 14th at the Curragh, 7th at Listowel—and his last win came over a year ago.
Best record at this trip (2 from 6)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Results are getting better with each run. A horse on the way up has a good chance of a win soon.
  • 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
  • L. Paul Flynn wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
He has never raced on wet ground despite a 25% win rate from just four career races, and his recent form is a stark contrast to his earlier promise: two consecutive second-place finishes followed by a 17th at the Curragh 24 days ago. The step up to wet ground and the collapse in form make him a difficult case.
Never raced on wet ground 3 straight top-3 finishes
More at Curragh tomorrow ?