Curragh
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1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap
Starts in
19h 7min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- D. Browne McMonagle wins 13.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 27 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 15/2 with four top-3 finishes from nine races, but crucially has never won—two seconds and two thirds is a curious record that suggests he runs well without delivering. Recent form shows a 4th, 3rd, and 2nd, so he's in the mix, but the absence of a breakthrough win is the key concern.
Market favourite (15/2)
11
Max Meridius
£1 wins £8.50 · 8 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- T. Mullins has a 3.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Thurles just 12 days ago and is hitting form at the right time—2 wins in his last 6 races is genuine momentum. However, he has never won on heavy ground (0 from 5 starts) and this wet track may be testing that weakness in the short term.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Stall 24 helps today. At this course, some starting stalls have done better than others.
- 27 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Still searching for a first win after seven races, with just two top-3 finishes to show for it. Runs at 10/1 as a fancied runner, but form (4th, 9th, 7th most recently) is patchy and there's no standout record on wet ground to rely on.
Among the fancied runners (10/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- Ms S. Lavery wins only 4.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Won here just 5 days ago and bounces back in immediately, which is ambitious—this is only her 3rd race in 48 days after a long summer break. The problem is clear: she has no wins on any soft or yielding ground in her career, and this is wet ground at a track that didn't suit her last time out (11th at Leopardstown 38 days back).
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Starting from stall 25 is good. In flat racing especially, where a horse starts can affect where it finishes.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 27-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Rated 2nd-highest in the field but zero wins from four career races—form reads 3-5-6-5 without a top-2 finish, which tells you this horse has been struggling to convert near-misses into wins. The 112-day gap since last running is a concern, and there's no evidence he can handle the step up.
2nd highest rated (OR 70)
£1 wins £7 · 7 Could surprise
R. Colgan has won 4.3% of their races in their career
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Colgan has won 4.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 4.7% record at this course for Ms S. Lavery. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Navan 45 days ago to break through as a 3-year-old, and that victory on good ground shows promise—but here's the problem: he has never raced on wet ground in his short career of four races. A long layoff before this, and untested in these conditions.
Never raced on wet ground
£1 wins £8.50 · 6 Could surprise
1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- This is a 27-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Runs again just 5 days after finishing 7th at Curragh, and interestingly has the best record on soft ground (1 win from 3 races at 33%), matching these conditions—he won at Leopardstown 131 days ago. The quick turnaround is a risk, but the ground form is genuinely promising.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 7.5% win rate overall, A. Slattery is one of the more dependable riders.
- A. Slattery has won 7.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 27 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Making a racecourse debut with no form to assess whatsoever, trained by a yard with solid record (85 wins from 876 races). This is a complete unknown in a 27-runner field; the draw (19) is mid-range but offers no additional help.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 7.8% win rate overall, J. M. Sheridan is one of the more dependable riders.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- P. W Flynn wins only 2.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground in ten career races and has no wins to his name, despite three top-3 finishes. Just finished 3rd at Navan 13 days ago, so recent form is there—but ground conditions are untested and concerning.
Never raced on wet ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Coen wins 6.9% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- C. Byrnes has a 3.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Most successful in the field with 5 wins from 45 races and good form on standard and yielding ground (2 wins and 1 win respectively)—experience and ground credentials line up well. But he's been off 46 days and recent form (5th, 15th, 18th) shows deterioration; class also looks below this field.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Keane has a good 12.8% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- K. Thomas Coleman has a 2.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground and has no wins or top-3 finishes from four career races—currently 0 from 4 with a 4th place most recently being the high-water mark. Untested in conditions, young form is modest, and recent form (4-8-6-10) suggests mid-field at best.
Never raced on wet ground
20
Nottooshabby
£1 wins £12 · 6 Could surprise
P. J Flynn has won 8.9% of their races in their career
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. J Flynn has won 8.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 27-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground and has no wins from six races despite a close 2nd at Navan 13 days ago—near-miss form is there, but the switch to wet ground is a step into the unknown. Limited data and a struggle to convert chances are the main concerns.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Heffernan has a good 8.0% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- With an 8.6% win rate overall, S. Heffernan is one of the more dependable riders.
- G. O'Leary has a 3.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground across 15 career races, and recent form has stalled (6th, 10th, 9th in last three), so no evidence he can handle a switch to these conditions. Only one career win at Newmarket last year—form and inexperience with ground type are both issues.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- E. McNamara has won 6.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 0% record at this course for E. McNamara. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins and zero top-3 finishes from four races—the only horse without a single top-3 finish to show for her effort. Recent runs read 6-5-7, which suggests mid-field ability at best, and there's no standout form or ground preference to lean on.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 5.4% overall win rate for H. Rogers. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- S. Rutledge wins 5.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- H. Rogers has a 3.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground and just won at Punchestown 35 days ago (breaking through at roughly 1 in 9 races), but recent runs show 5th and 8th after the win. Ground is untested and form has dipped since the breakthrough; the switch to wet ground adds risk.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Starting from stall 23, which is a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- 27 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at 1 win from 6 races, and she's well-suited to this distance (33% success at 1m1f–1m2f), but recent form has completely fallen away—10th and 11th in her last two runs, both beaten 16+ lengths. Form is thin and confidence is low despite the rating.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has had 62 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. McGuinness has a 4.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced runner with 62 career races, but recent form is poor: 9th, 3rd, 12th across her last three starts, and she has never won on yielding or good-to-yielding ground—exactly the conditions she'll face here. At 33/1, she's unlikely to reverse that trend.
Most experienced (62 runs, field avg 16)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A 3.4% record at this course for G. O'Leary. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins from 11 races despite six top-3 finishes, which paints a picture of a horse who can run competitively but hasn't delivered a breakthrough. Recent runs are 12th and 14th at Curragh and Listowel—form has deteriorated, and the draw (7) offers limited help.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- N. Crosse has won 5.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 5.6% record at this course for N. Crosse. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse with a proven course-and-distance win (2 from 6 at 1m1f–1m2f), and she has a solid record on yielding ground (1 win from 3), which suits the conditions perfectly. Recent form is poor (9th at Fairyhouse, then a fall), but her specific credentials for this race stand out.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7.8% overall win rate for A. Slattery. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Results are getting better with each run. A horse on the way up has a good chance of a win soon.
- 27 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't raced in 132 days and has never experienced wet ground conditions—a big double concern. One win from nine career races, and the 15th-place finish before his break (49 lengths down) suggests he's not fit to compete at this level right now.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Starting from stall 26 is good. In flat racing especially, where a horse starts can affect where it finishes.
- With an average finish of 1.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- This is a 27-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Away for nearly 3 years (1086 days) and returning to racing after an 881-day break—a massive unknown. Before that absence he showed real form on heavy ground (2 wins from 4 at 50%) and has the distance pedigree, but age (6) and the long layoff are severe question marks.
Never raced on wet ground
Absent 1086 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- This is a 27-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Just one win from 19 races and has dropped into recent form (13th, 11th, 10th across last three starts). No wins on yielding ground and struggles on right-handed galloping tracks—both are negative factors at the Curragh in these conditions.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 1. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- 5 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- G. Scott has a 6.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old with only one win from 33 races and hasn't raced in 123 days—the oldest horse in the field returning from a long absence. A 2nd at Limerick and 1st at Gowran Park before the break show some consistency, but age and the layoff are significant concerns.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- K. Leonard has won 4.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Miss K. Brown has a 5.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced at three career outings, carries the lowest weight in the field (119lbs), but has zero wins and zero top-3 finishes—recent form reads 7-16-9, which is poor. Inexperience and form suggest she's overmatched in a 27-runner field.
Carries lowest weight in field
Lightly raced (3 career races)