That one win came at Tipperary on 31 August 2025, and it remains the only time Jasmine Affanalis has hit the line first in 15 attempts. Eleven months have passed since, and the last six runs have produced finishes of 7th, 5th, 2nd, 11th, 13th, and 2nd — a mixture of encouragement and frustration in roughly equal measure. The two runner-up finishes suggest the ability is there; the 11th and 13th suggest it does not always arrive on the day.
The clearest picture of where this horse belongs comes at distances between a mile and one furlong and a mile and two furlongs, where Jasmine Affanalis has won 1 of 8 races — a 12% win rate, or 1 in every 8. That is meaningfully better than the overall career record and suggests the team have found the right conditions, even if results have not yet followed consistently. Marnane's yard has been in good form this season, sending out 21 winners, so the infrastructure is there.
The one puzzle worth noting is the partnership with jockey Luke McAteer, who has ridden this horse eight times without a win between them. That is a long run together without a breakthrough, and it is hard to know whether to read that as bad luck or a combination that simply has not clicked. Jasmine Affanalis raced just one day ago and remains active, so the next opportunity to answer that question is not far away.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk Galloping |
5 | 5 other | 27 Mar | 0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
3 | 3 seconds | 15 Jul | 0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
3 | 1 second, 2 other | 10 Jun | 0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 31 Aug | 100% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 30 May | 0% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 24 Apr | 0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 1 Jul | 0% |