Elusive Duke
Elusive Duke is a 4-year-old who has finally cracked it once in nineteen attempts, but that moment of glory came and went a long time ago. The win arrived at Leopardstown on 19 June 2025, his first and only success to date — a breakthrough that must have felt like a release after months of near-misses. Since then, though, the wins have dried up completely. In his last six races, he has finished in the top 3 on four occasions, most recently two runs ago, but the victory column has stayed empty for 16 months.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Elusive Duke Partnership
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
Trainer M A Molloy's yard at Thurles, in Co Tipperary, handles a modest operation — four winners this season tells you this is not a powerhouse operation — and Elusive Duke sits somewhere in the middle of the string. He wins roughly 1 in every 20 races overall, a success rate that suggests he is competing at a level where breakthroughs are hard-earned. He performs noticeably better when the distance stretches to between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs, winning at a 12% rate (1 from 8 races) over that ground, but even there consistency eludes him. The frequent top-3 finishes — he has six of them from nineteen races — hint that he is not without ability, yet he simply cannot string together the performances needed to add to his tally. He raced just a day ago, so he remains active in the yard's plans, but the longer the gap stretches between that June day and his next win, the harder it becomes to shake the sense that Elusive Duke's moment may have already passed.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 9 starts (11%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 12% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
9 Oct
13th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 15 runners
9 Sep
11th
Cork
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 21 runners
28 Jul
10th
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 21 runners
20 Jul
2nd
Ballinrobe
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
14 Jul
7th
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 15 runners
24 Jun
2nd
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 18 runners
12 Jun
2nd
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 18 runners
4 Jun
7th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 16 runners
24 Aug
3rd
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 19 runners
1 Aug
5th
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 21 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| Cork Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
9 Sep |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 1 third, 1 other |
24 Jun |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
4 Jun |
50% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
9 Oct |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
2 |
2 other |
28 Jul |
0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
11 Jun |
0% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
1 Jul |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
29 May |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
12 Jun |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
14 Jul |
0% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
20 Jul |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
5 May |
0% |