Chepstow
·
Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Handicap Hurdle Race
Starts in
2h 50min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 21 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 7/1 but winless from four races with only one finished in the top 3 finish, Angel Wave finished fourth at Chepstow 194 days ago and has shown inconsistent form including a pulled-up run. The odds suggest more class than the record reflects, and there remains a significant gap between market price and proven ability.
2nd in the market (7/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. Honeyball wins 17.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Favourite at 9/4 but winless from five races with mixed recent form including eighth place at Taunton, Corner Forward has to prove he can deliver when asked. His only finished in the top 3 finish came third at Ffos Las 197 days ago, which does not immediately suggest the class required to break through in a competitive handicap like this.
Market favourite (9/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- S. Bowen wins 19.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 11 races but showing recent form with top-3 finishes in two of her last three outings—most recently third at Chepstow just 24 days ago. Midnight Pass is active and consistent enough to warrant attention, though the pattern of five finished in the top 3 finishes and no wins suggests she operates just at the edge of competitive without breaking through.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Relatively inexperienced with four career races and no wins or finished in the top 3 finishes, I Heard A Rumour races in one of the strongest yards in Britain (Dan Skelton with 544 wins) and has backing at 14/1. The horse is actively campaigned and could have improvement to come, though recent form shows a sixth at Worcester followed by fourth and seventh, suggesting modest ability rather than a breakthrough waiting to happen.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- C. Longsdon has won 13.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with just three career outings and still searching for a first win, Are You Joking has shown nothing on the track to suggest it belongs in a field like this. The horse finished fourth at Chepstow 216 days ago and sixth at Uttoxeter before that; back in action just three days ago suggests the trainer believes improvement is coming, but the evidence doesn't support that belief yet.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Six races without a win and just one finished in the top 3 finish (a close third at Bangor 200 days ago), Gimarias has never raced on slightly soft ground and must be considered a major doubt in today's conditions. Recent form shows three runs with two fifths and a seventh, indicating a horse struggling to find consistency.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- R. Phillips wins 8.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Among the fancied runners at 14/1, Agent Argylle has yet to finish in the top three across five career races and finished seventh at Newbury 229 days ago. The editorial verdict mentions him as a runner commanding respect, but his record—zero wins, zero top-3 finishes—does not stack up against that assessment.
Among the fancied runners (14/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field, Highbury HILL took nine races to break through but has proven capable over Chepstow: 1 win from 2 visits here and a record at this distance to match. The concern is a blank record on good-to-soft ground (0 wins from 4), which matches today's slightly soft conditions and makes her a different proposition than on her preferred soft track.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This horse is happy on Good To Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 4.6% career win rate for T. Worsley. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 26 career races and three wins, V Power is a specialist who has won all three races at Wolverhampton (a 43% win rate there) but has never won at Chepstow in five attempts. Recent form shows back-to-back second top-3 finishes including one at Chepstow just 24 days ago, but poor record on soft or good-to-soft ground is a major concern in today's slightly soft conditions.
Most experienced (26 runs, field avg 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's ground is Good To Soft, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- Has been off the track for 105 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on slightly soft ground and winless from eight career races with no top-3 finishes, The Padster finished fourth at Worcester 105 days ago but has been back less than 24 hours. Recent form shows a pattern of fourths and poor placings with no evidence of ability to compete at this level.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- H. Daly wins 13.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Joint highest-rated in the field but winless from five races, Stung By Tariffs pulled up on most recent outing 244 days ago and has just one finished in the top 3 finish to his name. The editorial verdict backs him as the progressive type in a stamina test, but a single third-place finish across his career leaves precious little to go on for a horse at 28/1.
2nd highest rated (OR 99)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- H. Dickin wins 5% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Unplaced in four of her last six outings, Man Maid finished third at Chepstow 216 days ago but has failed to get into the frame since. At 40/1, she is an outsider with no wins from six career races and only one top-3 finish—a weak CV for a handicap of this quality.
Outsider at 40/1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- The trainer's overall record is not the strongest. Getting a horse ready and picking the race matter, and the numbers are not great.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with three career attempts, Isabella Islay has finished third in two of them and shows enough ability to warrant respect despite carrying 40/1 odds. Only a pound behind the top-rated runners in the betting, she is one of the fresher faces in the field and could find improvement on her next step up.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has an official rating of 95. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Absent for 724 days (the longest absence in the field), Moorefields holds the best career win rate at 1 in 6, but that single victory came on New Year's Day 2024 and he has been off the track for over 500 days since. Returning from such a lengthy absence poses a massive question mark, regardless of his historical form.
Absent 724 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One of the more successful runners with a career win and strong record on soft ground (1 win from 3), Jacksbar won at Uttoxeter 694 days ago but has been off the track for 348 days and is returning from a long layoff. The slightly soft ground today should suit her style, but the absence from racing is a significant concern at this level.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Relatively inexperienced with four career races and no wins or finished in the top 3 finishes, Viva Vincente has finished outside the top three each time with recent placings of sixth, tenth, and fifth. Racing for the first time with this jockey-trainer pairing after a 32-day break, there is limited evidence to suggest a change in fortunes.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from five races with just one finished in the top 3 finish (third at Stratford 221 days ago), Nowherenearmilan finished eighth at Chepstow 194 days ago and eighth again at Chepstow more recently. At 40/1, she carries the mark of an outsider with a poor record at this track and limited form to excite.
Outsider at 40/1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- N. Hawke has won 7.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A weight disadvantage of 17.2 lbs compared with the average for this race. Racing is decided by small margins, and weight matters.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field at 18 pounds below average, Deauville Lady carries the minimum weight but has never found the winner's enclosure in five races and shows no top-3 finishes. Recent form includes a tenth-place finish at Sedgefield 217 days ago, placing her well outside the competitive frame.
Lowest rated, 18lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.