This season, though, has been a difficult one to watch unfold. Three wins from 70 rides — that's roughly 1 in every 23 races — represents a win rate of just 4%, down from 8% this time last year. To put it plainly, he's winning half as often as he was. That kind of dip happens in racing; confidence, the quality of horses available, and plain bad luck all play a role. But 70 rides in 12 months still means he's busy and in demand, which matters. Jockeys without horses to ride are the ones who should really worry.
His most regular partnership this season has been with trainer Henry Oliver, where he has ridden 16 times for 1 win — winning roughly 1 in every 16 rides together, or around 6%. That's modest, but it's also slightly above his season average, which tells you the relationship is at least holding up. Building a reliable working understanding with a yard takes time, and Noonan is still on the right side of that equation.
One detail in his numbers that genuinely stands out: on slightly wet or soft ground, Noonan wins 3 races from just 8 rides — that's 38%, or better than 1 in every 3. That is a remarkable return, and it almost certainly means he either rides with extra confidence in those conditions or has had access to horses that thrive in them. Either way, when the rain comes, Noonan is worth paying closer attention to. A leaner season can feel like a setback, but for a jockey still only four years into his career, the two Class 1 wins tell the more important story — he already knows what it feels like to win when it matters most.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Abbot | 15 | 1 | 6.7% |
| Uttoxeter | 12 | 0 | 0% |
| Worcester | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Stratford-on-Avon | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Ffos Las | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Fontwell Park | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Cartmel | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Warwick | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Huntingdon | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Fakenham | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% |