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Bellewstown

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Gleeson's Bar, Drogheda, Home Of Racing Handicap
Awaiting result
Flat race · weights set to make it fair Very underrated horse: Elusive Path +1 About 1 mile Slightly soft ground 18 runners £18,000 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • G. M. Lyons has won 13.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • G. M. Lyons wins 20.7% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Elusive Path is the market favourite at 5.0 despite an unbeaten record (0 wins from 3), a dangerous paradox explained by three consecutive placings showing real promise. The critical warning: the horse has never raced on soft ground, and with only three career starts, soft Bellewstown represents genuinely uncharted territory for an untested three-year-old.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (3 career races) 3 straight top-3 finishes Market favourite (5.0)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A. McGuinness wins 8.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Goal Exceeded is second-favourite at 9.0 and sits in the low-draw mercy seat (draw 2), but there's a fatal flaw buried here: the horse has never won on soft ground and struggles on yielding or heavy terrain, making this soft Bellewstown surface a minefield. With just three wins from 26 races overall, a poor-ground specialist he is not.
2nd in the market (9.0)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • With an average finish of 2.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Zaraahmando brings genuine soft-ground form—1 win from 4 starts (25%)—and has strung together three consecutive top-3 finishes, the most recent a close second at Galway just 26 days ago. This course-specialist profile looks perfectly calibrated for today, though the horse hasn't reached the higher calibre yet.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • W. McCreery wins 14% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Bundle Of Interest is the fourth-rated horse at 70 but has managed just one win from 15 races and is coming off back-to-back sevenths at Curragh and Gowran Park. At 21.0, the outsider tag feels generous rather than harsh—this is a horse struggling at this level with no soft-ground form to inspire confidence.
Outsider at 21.0
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Won 2 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • Has won here 2 times in 2 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
  • A 6.1% career win rate for E. D. Delany. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Dream Legend is the standout course specialist, having won both times raced here at Bellewstown (2 from 2), but there's a critical catch: the horse has never raced on soft ground anywhere in an 11-race career. Two wins from 11 races overall gives a healthy 18% win rate, yet the untested ground condition is a significant question mark despite the course form.
Only course winner (2 from 2 here) Never raced on soft ground 3 straight top-3 finishes Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • J. P. Murtagh wins 11.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Morehampton is second-highest rated (OR 79) but represents a puzzle: just one win from 11 races despite the quality, and that sole victory came on good ground at Gowran Park nearly a year ago. A third-place finish at Gowran 18 days back offers hope, yet soft ground has never been tested in his record, leaving questions unanswered.
2nd highest rated (OR 79)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Has won 2 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
  • Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
  • G. O'Leary has a 4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Glyndwr heads the market at 17.0 but faces a critical unknown: the horse has never raced on soft ground and drifted dramatically from 1.1, suggesting the market is unconvinced about this unproven condition. That's a dangerous gamble when the ground is genuinely testing—his strengths lie on standard turf and at this distance, but soft conditions represent a complete puzzle.
Never raced on soft ground Best record at this trip (2 from 5)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Has had 39 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
  • A 5% career win rate for P. Sweeney. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Pillar Of Hope wins specifically on good-to-soft ground (2 wins from 3) and heavy turf (1 from 3), making him a legitimate soft-ground candidate with a decent recent fourth at Galway. The problem is distance: he prefers longer trips (1m3f–1m4f, 1m6f–2m) and has never won on standard ground, limiting what soft conditions can do for him at a mile.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £14.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • J. S O'Donoghue has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Felix Somary has strung together three straight top-3 finishes and has a 12% win rate from eight races, showing genuine promise as a three-year-old still learning his craft. The issue is distance preference: he excels at 5f–6½f (33% win rate), but today's mile trip is longer than his sweet spot, and soft ground hasn't been tested.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £22.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • An 11.5% win rate at this course for D. Browne McMonagle. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • R. P. Cody has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Slight Of Foot has failed to win from eight starts and shows volatile form (fourth, then ninth, then tenth), revealing a horse that can show up competitive but rarely maintains consistency. Recent third at Gowran suggests some competitiveness, yet zero wins and unproven soft-ground credentials make this a long shot at 28.0.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 76 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Mrs J. Harrington wins 10.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Goofy Gander is one of the least experienced runners in the field (4 races) and has failed to place once, let alone win—the horse's best effort is fifth place. A 76-day absence before a sixth-place finish at Limerick suggests the yard is still searching for the right race for this three-year-old, and soft ground adds another unknown.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • An experienced horse with 62 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Exquisite Acclaim is unfancied at 34.0 despite being rated 78, but the data explains why: the horse has failed to win on soft ground (0 from 5) and has just come through a brutal Galway run (13th, beaten 24.2L) that suggests sharp loss of form. He wins on standard turf at Dundalk, but today's conditions and recent trajectory make this a genuine stretch.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • A 0% record at this course for Ms S. Lavery. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Anvika has placed in two of the last three races and carries a 47-day break, which makes this a risky proposition given the soft ground directly conflicts with her record (0 wins from 4 starts on yielding terrain). The horse is a persistent runner-up type (2 wins from 31 races), but there's nothing here to suggest today breaks the pattern.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
  • P. W Flynn has a 2.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Rappell won at Limerick just 45 days ago and was beaten barely a length at Fairyhouse, but the critical problem is embedded in the data: the horse has never won on soft ground (0 from 3 starts) and shows a clear pattern of avoiding the conditions entirely. His strengths shine on standard turf, but today's test is completely outside his comfort zone.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • An 8.2% overall win rate for L. McAteer. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Girl Bear is inexperienced (6 races) and winless with just two places, making her 25.0 odds look overgenerous given last place's poor form (eighth at Galway 29 days ago). No evidence of soft-ground capability, limited career data, and recent inconsistency all point to a horse not yet competitive at this level.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Back quickly after its last run Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 5 times
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Comfort Line is the most experienced horse in the field (93 races) and just won at the Curragh 9 days ago, showing recent sharp form—but the data is brutal on soft ground: zero wins from six attempts on soft turf across his 93-race career. This is a horse built for standard and faster ground, making today's conditions a fundamental mismatch despite the recent victory.
Most experienced (93 runs, field avg 24)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs) Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Gloriously Glam has the best soft-ground record in the field (1 win from 4 starts, 25%) and ran a close second at Bellewstown just 53 days ago, but last time out (12th at Galway, beaten 22L) suggests a dramatic loss of form or trip issues. The combination of soft-ground experience and course familiarity is compelling, yet the recent collapse demands caution.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Reponse Finale is the revelation of the race: two wins in the last ten days at Gowran Park and Dundalk, three consecutive top-3 finishes, and carrying the lowest weight (119lbs). The problem is glaring: zero wins from three attempts on soft ground and a pattern of failure in wet conditions (0 from 3 soft, 0 from 4 yielding), suggesting the ground today is exactly where recent momentum collapses.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field 3 straight top-3 finishes
More at Bellewstown on Tuesday ?