Bellewstown

Zadawa is the second shortest-priced horse at 3.85 and for good reason — she's lightly raced with three outings, two placings (most recently second by just 0.8 lengths at Cork), and is trained by the respected D K Weld. She's improving with each run and shows genuine competitive intent, but like several rivals here, she's never raced on soft ground before. As a market fancy with genuine form credentials, she deserves serious consideration despite the unknowns about how she'll handle the mud.

Shemiyka is a lightly raced four-year-old with four races under her belt but no wins yet — though a recent third-place finish at Galway shows there's something there to work with. She was beaten only 3.5 lengths in that third and just 3 lengths more recently, suggesting she's competitive and possibly close to breaking through. The mid-range odds of 8.0 and the pairing of Colin Keane with a trainer experienced in getting results (41 wins from 188 races together) make her worth considering.

Cosmetic is the highest-rated horse in the field by 6 pounds and has shown promise with two second-place finishes from six races, but she's never raced on soft ground — that's a material question mark on a day like this. The three-year-old finished second by just 1 length at Fairyhouse recently, suggesting she's competitive, but the unknowns about how she'll handle the mud and the lack of a breakthrough win are against her. At 5.5, the odds suggest confidence from her camp, but it's not matched by hard evidence yet.

Another racecourse debut, this time a three-year-old by the reliable sire Study Of Man trained by Mrs John Harrington, a yard with an exceptional win rate (184 wins from 1630 races). Kigalienne is completely unproven on the track, so the 18.0 odds reflect genuine uncertainty, but the pedigree and the trainer's record suggest she's been properly prepared for this moment.