Bellewstown
·
Gibney's Of Malahide (Q.R.) Handicap
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 22 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A. J. Martin wins 9.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 26 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through at Listowel after 10 races and has strung together three consecutive top-3 finishes, including a tight second at Galway 26 days ago. The mid draw (5) is neutral, but zero wins on yielding ground is a serious concern given the soft conditions, and a 9% career win rate shows he's not yet proven at this level.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- Mr P. J. Cawley wins 3.5% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 4.0 after a morale-boosting win at Leopardstown just 19 days ago, and the only runner in this field with a recent victory on standard ground. The low draw (4) is a genuine asset here, but a 15% career win rate and an unfamiliar jockey pairing mean backing the short odds requires faith in one hot run over proven consistency.
Market favourite (4.0)
£1 wins £6.50 · 15 Solid chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
15
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- J. Foley wins 13.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Has had 19 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
Only seven races under his belt but shows real promise over long distances, with 1 win from just 8 starts in that sphere—25% of his limited races at 2m-plus. The 2m 2f trip plays to his strengths, recent third at Leopardstown is solid form, and a mid-range draw gives him a fair setup, though data remains thin.
2nd in the market (7.0)
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Mr H. C. Swan wins 25% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 7.4% record at this course for H. Rogers. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Youngest runner at four years old with a recent win at Leopardstown and a second just 5 days ago, but has never raced on soft ground—a critical unknown. Turning out again so quickly after that second is unusual, the low draw (1) is ideal for the course, yet inexperience on this surface and thin overall form (1 win from 11 races) make this a gamble.
Never raced on soft ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 5 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9.7% overall win rate for T. M. Walsh. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- A 5.4% career win rate for Mr L. P. Shanahan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
The form horse here: best win rate in the field at 1 in 5 races, and genuinely thrives on yielding ground with 1 win from 3 starts in those conditions. Three places in the last six runs show sharpness, but that last win was ten months ago and the high draw (10) at a track where those stalls have never produced a winner in 16 races is a real drag.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £16.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 45 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- The trend in recent results is up. Each run has been better than the one before, which is encouraging.
- R. Hackett has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced runner by far (45 races vs field average of 22) and the only horse with a genuine soft-ground record, winning 1 from 5 starts in those conditions and 1 from 3 on yielding-to-soft. Yet that win-rate of 9% (1 in 11) and zero wins from 13 starts with this jockey-trainer pairing show inconsistency, and the high draw (11) is another handicap.
Most experienced (45 runs, field avg 22)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 5.3% record at this course for J. Anthony Murray. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive top-3 finishes including a recent second at Tramore show ready form, and she's won twice on good ground—but has zero wins from four starts on soft ground, which is a complete mismatch for today. A 9% career win rate and struggles on galloping tracks offer little encouragement despite the recent placings.
3 straight top-3 finishes
£1 wins £14 · 6 Could surprise
Mr J. L. Gleeson has won 17.3% of their races in their career
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Mr J. L. Gleeson has won 17.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- 18 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
- A 0% record at this course for J. E & Thomas Kiely. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lightest weight and lowest rating (6lbs below average), suggesting a fair opportunity on paper, but a win just 87 days ago on yielding ground is his only recent success. The 9% win rate, zero wins on soft ground from four attempts, and struggles on galloping tracks all point away from this being his day despite the handicap assistance.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- Ms K. M. Ryan wins 4.5% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by a clear 5lbs but arrives with serious questions after pulling up at Galway 25 days ago and finishing 8th at Market Rasen before that. The nightmare draw (9) at a track where low numbers win nearly 1 in 5 races compounds the problem, and worse still—this horse has zero wins on yielding or soft ground despite the editorial tip. Form and course setup say no.
Top rated by 5lbs
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Today's race is over 2m 2½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A 0% record at this course for T. Mullins. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Outsider at 19.0 with a brutal 4% win rate (1 from 28 races) and has struggled badly on soft ground, winning zero from four attempts in those conditions. Recent form shows two failures including a 6th place just 12 days ago, making this the weakest case in the field for the conditions and distance.
Outsider at 19.0
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Mr P. J. Smullen wins 16.7% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- E. & Patrick Harty wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A 12-year-old with just one win from 19 races returns after a 103-day absence—the longest layoff in the field—pairing with a jockey for the first time. The slow ground should theoretically suit (0 wins on faster conditions), but age and time off make this the longest of long shots despite the editorial rating it as second-best.
Absent 103 days (longest in field)