Flat race · weights set to make it fairUnderrated horse: Medieval NightAbout 1 mileSlightly soft ground15 runners£6,000 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+Its average finish over the last three runs is 4. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
−15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Duchess Anne is winless from seven races with no places either—a 0% record that's particularly damning for a horse carrying endorsement from editorial. Recent form shows fourth and second placings suggesting she's close to breaking through, but she remains unproven in soft ground and her inexperience makes her a poor risk in this competitive contest.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
Why this score
+G. Keane wins 5.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
+Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
−G. Keane has a 5.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Givehertilxmas carries the curse of winlessness after 11 races—a 0% win rate with only two placings to show for it. Never tested on soft ground, the filly will be a complete unknown in these conditions, making her a difficult proposition despite decent recent form (third at Roscommon 56 days ago).
+This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
+D. Gerard Hogan has won 7.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Medieval Night is the market favourite at 6.6 despite having never won in 16 races, a stat that should give pause to punters chasing odds. His recent second at Gowran Park (13 days ago) looks his best chance yet, but consistency without wins is the calling card here—five places from 16 races tells you the horse runs well enough to be close, but not quite close enough to matter.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
+Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
+With an 8.8% win rate overall, R. Whelan is one of the more dependable riders.
−P. J. F. Murphy wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Perfect Judgement holds the best career win rate in the field at 13% and boasts a specialist's record over this trip (3 wins from 14), but he's hit a brick wall recently—15th at Naas 34 days ago after a lean six-race spell without a win. His strength on standard ground (24% win rate) counts for nothing here on soft, and his poor record on yielding ground (0 from 3) suggests the conditions may not suit.
Best record at this trip (3 from 14)Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
+No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
+A. McGuinness has won 8.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Land Of The Giants enters unproven on soft ground after just one career win from 25 races—a dire 4% win rate made worse by zero wins on standard or good ground. His recent form is shaky (fourth at Gowran Park, 15th at Naas), and the editorial labels him a danger, but the numbers paint a horse struggling to find any winning formula at all.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
−A 4.2% career win rate for D. Kinsella. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Micasso won here at Bellewstown just 54 days ago, his sole victory in 14 races, but he's immediately lost form—12th at Dundalk and 11th at Leopardstown since. His poor record on soft ground is undocumented but concerning given his struggle on yielding surfaces elsewhere, and he can't find his feet on either type of galloping track.
Has won at this course and distanceWearing cheekpiecesBack quickly after its last runWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 time
Why this score
+A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
+An experienced horse with 45 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
−Came 13th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
Dinamine is the only course and distance winner in this field, a genuine advantage on what looks like his favoured soft ground—he holds a 33% win rate on good-to-yielding conditions. However, his 13th-place finish at Curragh just nine days ago suggests he may still be finding his feet after that recent Naas breakthrough, making him a risky bet despite solid form markers.
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
Why this score
+This type of ground has not suited the horse: 8 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
+With 56 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
−J. Anthony Murray has a 5.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Master Garvey carries the lightest weight in the field as the most experienced runner (56 races), but he's won just twice in those 56 outings and has never won on soft ground despite racing extensively. His recent third at Gowran Park (31 days ago) is his best form marker, but a 4% career win rate and specific vulnerability on these conditions make him a heavy underlay despite his experience.
Carries lowest weight in fieldMost experienced (56 runs, field avg 24)
Wearing blinkersBack after 308 days offWon 0 of last 5
Why this score
+A 5.4% overall win rate for N. Crosse. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
+Has been off the track for 308 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
−D. McLoughlin has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Chant d'Or is lightly raced (three career starts) and returning from a 159-day absence with a winless record littered with heavy defeats (12th, 15th, 11th). Never tested on soft ground, the gelding faces an uphill battle resuming after such a long break in a competitive field.
Never raced on soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
Why this score
+L. McAteer has won 8.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
+Finished 0th in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
−K. Henry Clarke has a 2.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Albion Power has drifted dramatically in the market (from 1.1 to 23.0) despite editorial backing, which rings alarm bells given his complete lack of soft-ground experience. His modest 12% career win rate and failure on good ground contrast sharply with the editorial verdict that his 'improving profile' makes him the pick—the data simply doesn't support that optimism.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
−T. Patrick McGettigan wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Think About It is winless from 13 career races with just three placings, giving her precious little to work with in this competitive contest. A 13th-place finish at Sligo 20 days ago suggests she's trending downward, and the combination of a new jockey-trainer pairing and conditions she's never encountered makes this a tough ask.
Wearing tongue strapBack after 67 days offWon 0 of last 5
Why this score
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+This is a 4yo+ race, and the horse fits the entry rules well. A horse that fits the rules often means the trainer picked the race on purpose.
−A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Oitentinha is raw and winless after just six career races with a single placing to show for it, making her one of the most inexperienced in the field. A 67-day absence followed by recent ninth-place finishes suggests she's short on match fitness and learning experience alike—a maiden in a handicap is rarely a winning proposition.
Wearing cheekpiecesBack after 775 days offWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
Why this score
+Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
+775 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
−A 0% record at this course for L. W Comer. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Bright Dick has been absent for 775 days (over two years), a seismic layoff that makes his prospects entirely speculative—returning from such a break in a competitive handicap is nearly always a forlorn hope. His solitary career win came at Dundalk in April 2024, and he's yet to prove he can handle soft ground, making this a roll of the dice.
Has won at this course and distanceWearing hoodBack after 81 days offWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
Why this score
+Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
+An experienced horse with 46 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
−G. A. Kingston wins only 2.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Sunday Sovereign is the only horse in the field with a winning record specifically on soft ground (1 from 5), a crucial edge given the conditions, and he's already won at this track and distance. However, at nine years old with just 2 wins from 46 races and an 81-day layoff, longevity rather than performance is his hallmark—he's a long-term survivor, not a threat.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (1 from 5)
Back after 256 days offWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
Why this score
+This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
+Has won 1 time over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
−S. Tormey has a 4.3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
Monzoon is the lowest-rated runner in the field by a significant margin, winless in his last 13 races after a 256-day absence, and faces a complete unknown on soft ground after never racing in such conditions. Both his career wins came at Dundalk on standard ground—conditions he won't encounter today—making him a struggling veteran with few answers left.
Each way is two equal bets. Half your total goes on the horse to win. Half goes on it to finish in the top 3.
If it wins, both bets pay.
If it finishes 2nd or 3rd, only the top-3 part pays. Some races pay 4th or 5th too, and some only 2nd. The top-3 part pays a fraction of the win odds, often 1/4 or 1/5.
Otherwise, both bets lose.
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How odds work
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The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win, but the more you'd win if it does.
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