Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Givehertilxmas carries the curse of winlessness after 11 races—a 0% win rate with only two placings to show for it. Never tested on soft ground, the filly will be a complete unknown in these conditions, making her a difficult proposition despite decent recent form (third at Roscommon 56 days ago).
Duchess Anne is winless from seven races with no places either—a 0% record that's particularly damning for a horse carrying endorsement from editorial. Recent form shows fourth and second placings suggesting she's close to breaking through, but she remains unproven in soft ground and her inexperience makes her a poor risk in this competitive contest.
Medieval Night is the market favourite at 6.6 despite having never won in 16 races, a stat that should give pause to punters chasing odds. His recent second at Gowran Park (13 days ago) looks his best chance yet, but consistency without wins is the calling card here—five places from 16 races tells you the horse runs well enough to be close, but not quite close enough to matter.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Perfect Judgement holds the best career win rate in the field at 13% and boasts a specialist's record over this trip (3 wins from 14), but he's hit a brick wall recently—15th at Naas 34 days ago after a lean six-race spell without a win. His strength on standard ground (24% win rate) counts for nothing here on soft, and his poor record on yielding ground (0 from 3) suggests the conditions may not suit.
Best record at this trip (3 from 14)Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Land Of The Giants enters unproven on soft ground after just one career win from 25 races—a dire 4% win rate made worse by zero wins on standard or good ground. His recent form is shaky (fourth at Gowran Park, 15th at Naas), and the editorial labels him a danger, but the numbers paint a horse struggling to find any winning formula at all.
Micasso won here at Bellewstown just 54 days ago, his sole victory in 14 races, but he's immediately lost form—12th at Dundalk and 11th at Leopardstown since. His poor record on soft ground is undocumented but concerning given his struggle on yielding surfaces elsewhere, and he can't find his feet on either type of galloping track.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Dinamine is the only course and distance winner in this field, a genuine advantage on what looks like his favoured soft ground—he holds a 33% win rate on good-to-yielding conditions. However, his 13th-place finish at Curragh just nine days ago suggests he may still be finding his feet after that recent Naas breakthrough, making him a risky bet despite solid form markers.
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Master Garvey carries the lightest weight in the field as the most experienced runner (56 races), but he's won just twice in those 56 outings and has never won on soft ground despite racing extensively. His recent third at Gowran Park (31 days ago) is his best form marker, but a 4% career win rate and specific vulnerability on these conditions make him a heavy underlay despite his experience.
Carries lowest weight in fieldMost experienced (56 runs, field avg 24)
Wearing blinkersFresh (308 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Chant d'Or is lightly raced (three career starts) and returning from a 159-day absence with a winless record littered with heavy defeats (12th, 15th, 11th). Never tested on soft ground, the gelding faces an uphill battle resuming after such a long break in a competitive field.
Never raced on soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Albion Power has drifted dramatically in the market (from 1.1 to 23.0) despite editorial backing, which rings alarm bells given his complete lack of soft-ground experience. His modest 12% career win rate and failure on good ground contrast sharply with the editorial verdict that his 'improving profile' makes him the pick—the data simply doesn't support that optimism.
Think About It is winless from 13 career races with just three placings, giving her precious little to work with in this competitive contest. A 13th-place finish at Sligo 20 days ago suggests she's trending downward, and the combination of a new jockey-trainer pairing and conditions she's never encountered makes this a tough ask.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (67 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Oitentinha is raw and winless after just six career races with a single placing to show for it, making her one of the most inexperienced in the field. A 67-day absence followed by recent ninth-place finishes suggests she's short on match fitness and learning experience alike—a maiden in a handicap is rarely a winning proposition.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (775 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Bright Dick has been absent for 775 days (over two years), a seismic layoff that makes his prospects entirely speculative—returning from such a break in a competitive handicap is nearly always a forlorn hope. His solitary career win came at Dundalk in April 2024, and he's yet to prove he can handle soft ground, making this a roll of the dice.
Z. McMullan(10)
·
G. A Kingston
· 9yo
· 9st 1lb
· OR 45
C&DHeadgear
1.5
Won at this course & distanceWearing hoodFresh (81 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Sunday Sovereign is the only horse in the field with a winning record specifically on soft ground (1 from 5), a crucial edge given the conditions, and he's already won at this track and distance. However, at nine years old with just 2 wins from 46 races and an 81-day layoff, longevity rather than performance is his hallmark—he's a long-term survivor, not a threat.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (1 from 5)
S. Tormey(7)
·
P. Sweeney
· 9yo
· 8st 10lb
· OR 40
FreshnessForm
0.4
Fresh (256 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Monzoon is the lowest-rated runner in the field by a significant margin, winless in his last 13 races after a 256-day absence, and faces a complete unknown on soft ground after never racing in such conditions. Both his career wins came at Dundalk on standard ground—conditions he won't encounter today—making him a struggling veteran with few answers left.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.