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Goal Exceeded

There is a horse in Adrian McGuinness's yard at Lusk, Co Dublin, that has been quietly building something worth paying attention to. Goal Exceeded is a five-year-old with three wins and seven places from 24 races — a win rate of around 12%, or roughly 1 in every 8 races. That might not sound spectacular on paper, but the timing and pattern of those wins tells a more interesting story.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Iffraaj
Mother
Twinkle Twinkle
Owner
Ms H McGuinness/Martin W White/Declan Sheridan/Breen White
Rating
66

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
3
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
29.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The career began to take shape with a first win at Naas back in October 2023, and Goal Exceeded has been finding its feet ever since. The most recent start — just one day ago — came at Leopardstown on 18 June 2026, and that was a winning one. Leopardstown is one of Ireland's most prestigious tracks, the kind of place that separates horses who turn up from horses who actually deliver. Winning there this week puts Goal Exceeded firmly in the conversation.

The ground matters here. On normal conditions, Goal Exceeded has won 2 of 9 races — a win rate of 22%, or nearly 1 in every 4 outings. Compare that to the overall record of 1 in 8, and it becomes clear that when the track is riding well, this horse is a very different proposition. It is the sort of detail a friend with inside knowledge would lean across the table to tell you.

Adam Caffrey has been the regular jockey for this partnership, riding Goal Exceeded in 7 of its 24 races and winning once together — a 14% win rate, or 1 in every 5 rides. That is actually better than the horse's overall record, which suggests the combination is a productive one. The McGuinness yard has been in strong form this season, sending out 45 winners — the kind of operation that knows when a horse is ready and pitches them accordingly.

Recent form reads 1-3-blank-2-6-8 from the last six races, most recent first — a win, a third, a run to forget, then a second, and two tailing-off efforts before that. The arc is clearly moving in the right direction. A horse that was finishing sixth and eighth not long ago, now placing and winning at Leopardstown, is a horse that has worked something out. Whatever clicked, it clicked at exactly the right moment.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Jun
🏆 Won
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
19 May
3rd
Cork
7f – 1m · Soft_To_Heavy · 9 runners
19 Apr
DNF
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Soft · 17 runners
15 Apr
2nd
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Yielding · 17 runners
2 Nov
6th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Heavy · 21 runners
16 Oct
8th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Yielding · 27 runners
4 Oct
5th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Soft_To_Heavy · 10 runners
23 Sep
6th
Listowel
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 11 runners
7 Aug
8th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
29 Jul
11th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 18 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Adam Caffrey Current Jockey
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Keithen Kennedy
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
9 1 win, 1 third, 7 other 19 Apr 11.1%
Cork
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 19 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 29 Apr 33.3%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 18 Jun 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Jun 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Oct 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%