Market Rasen
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Betway Summer Plate Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)
Starts in
1h 30min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.33 and it's not hard to see why — three consecutive top-three finishes including a win, and the powerful Harry Skelton and Dan Skelton partnership behind him who together win roughly 1 in 5 races at an extraordinary volume. He drops two classes from his usual level today, meaning this is an easier race on paper than he's been tackling, which is a significant factor the market has clearly priced in. The standout question is whether he can transfer that form to a track and trip he hasn't yet proven himself at.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (4.33)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"His form over a trip on the Flat in France was good and he'll probably want further than 2m over hurdles in time. He was a very pleasing second in a novice hurdle at Sedgefield last week and looked to love the soft ground. I'm looking forward to him. 16-10-24"
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
He ran second at Market Rasen just 36 days ago, so he knows this track and clearly goes well here — that's an encouraging sign in a field where course experience is rare. Five wins from 18 races on good ground with a 42% win rate on that surface is a strong number, and normal conditions today play right into his hands. Dropping two classes from his usual level gives him more room to breathe, and at 11-1 he looks a fair each-way option.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"There's a novice handicap chase at Perth at their three-day festival next month that he'll go for. He's really well and I'm hoping he'll keep on improving throughout the late spring and summer months. I'm sure he could be one of ours to go for the Summer Plate at Market Rasen. 26-03-26"
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TrackLab Insight
The market's second choice and the field's best career win rate — winning roughly 1 in 3 races over a long career is a serious number. The concern is straightforward: he hasn't run in 99 days, the longest absence of any horse in this field, and his last outing ended when he fell at Aintree. Normal ground like today suits him better than most — he's won 8 from 16 races on this surface — but fitness after that lay-off is the real question.
Best record on this ground (8 from 16)
Absent 99 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
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TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive top-three finishes, including a win at Cartmel just 20 days ago, makes this one of the most in-form horses in the race right now. He wins roughly 1 in 3 on normal ground — comfortably the best ground record in the field for this surface — which is a significant plus today. The one worry is his record on galloping tracks, where he has failed to win in five attempts on both left and right-handed courses of that type.
3 straight top-3 finishes
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TrackLab Insight
Eight wins from 39 races is a solid career record, but this six-year-old is making his first run over fences in a chase — the data provided is largely flat-race based, including course wins at Southwell on standard all-weather ground, which is a very different test to what he faces here. A new jockey partnership today adds further uncertainty. The market has shortened him slightly but he remains a risky proposition stepping into this format.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He was too fresh and free at Navan. That run will have done him the world of good and the 2m handicap chase coming up at Down Royal should suit him ideally. 26-10-25"
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TrackLab Insight
A win rate of roughly 1 in 4 across his career is a decent number for a seven-year-old, but his last run was an eighth-place finish at Uttoxeter just 20 days ago — a sharp step down from the close second he managed there the time before. He has no wins on normal ground from four attempts, which is a real concern for today. The market has drifted him out from 7-1 to 9-1 and that feels about right.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
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TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field to have won around Market Rasen's track, scoring here just 29 days ago — that course experience is a genuine edge over these rivals. Rated 15lbs above the field average, he arrives fitter and fresher than most, which is why he's the selection despite drifting slightly in the market. At 10 years old he's seen it all before, and on normal ground he's a different horse — wins roughly 1 in 4 on this surface.
Only course winner (1 from 3 here)
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TrackLab Insight
His odds have more than doubled since they opened — drifting from 11.5 out to 22 — which tells its own story about how the market reads his chances. Two third-place finishes at Cartmel give him recent consistency, but he has never won on normal ground in three attempts, and this is a stiffer test than Cartmel. Hard to make a strong case at a drifting price.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
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TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field and carrying the lightest weight — 9lbs below the field average — which gives him a physical advantage if the weight difference translates on the day. Three consecutive top-three finishes shows he's in a good moment right now, and his market has shortened considerably from 26-1 to 19-1. The risk is a poor record on left-handed galloping tracks like Market Rasen — no wins from five attempts — which is difficult to ignore.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Drops 2 classes from usual level
3 straight top-3 finishes
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TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses in the field with 32 races under his belt, but the record is modest — winning roughly 1 in 8 races over his last stretch of form. He has struggled badly on left-handed sharp tracks and right-handed tight tracks, and while Market Rasen is a different shape, there's nothing in the recent form to suggest a revival is coming. A distant sixth last time out in Ireland doesn't inspire confidence.
Among the more experienced (32 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Nine years old, 38 races in, and still knocking on the door — a fifth, third and second in his last three runs shows he's competitive without quite getting the job done. He drops two classes from his usual level which helps on paper, but there's nothing in the data to specifically recommend him for Market Rasen's course or conditions today. A drifting price of 28-1 suggests the market agrees.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
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TrackLab Insight
The market has pushed him out to 26-1 despite a rating that sits 8lbs above the field average, and it's hard to argue with that pessimism given his last two runs — beaten nearly 50 lengths at Kilbeggan and nearly 24 at Punchestown. He has no wins on normal ground and struggles on left-handed galloping tracks like this one, which doesn't point to a turnaround today.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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TrackLab Insight
At 70-1 he's the longest shot in the field, and the data doesn't offer much reason to look past that price — he has won just once on a left-handed galloping track like Market Rasen from 11 attempts, and has no wins on normal ground at all. The 11-year-old ran third at Uttoxeter 55 days ago which shows some life, but that's a big step up in quality from this Premier Handicap field. Honest horse, wrong day.
Outsider at 70.0
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